Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction 1/25/25 College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in college basketball action from ASU Convocation Center. Here’s a Texas State vs Arkansas State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas State vs Arkansas State pick. We will examine:

The Texas State Bobcats’ recent form and player performance

The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas State Bobcats

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arkansas State Red Wolves

Recent betting trends in games played between Texas State and Arkansas State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas State vs Arkansas State game

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

Texas State has been a mixed bag this year. The Bobcats have some nice runs in the books, as well as a couple of rough stretches. The first 10 games went pretty well, as Texas State fell to TCU, Abilene Christian, and Bradley among wins over Eastern Michigan, McMurry, Princeton, Ohio, Texas Southern, Arlington Baptist, and Rice for a 7-3 start. A 1-4 run came next with a lone win over Georgia Southern embedded among losses to Florida Atlantic, Texas Arlington, Marshall, and App State. Over the next four games, the Bobcats would fall to Southern Miss amid wins over Troy, Georgia State, and Southern Miss, giving the team an 11-8 overall record through the first 19 games of the 2024-25 season.

In the Thursday matchup with Louisiana, Texas State jumped out to a five-point lead by the break. The Bobcats got even better in the second half, posting a nice 51-41 run on the way to an 89-74 win in the end. Tylan Pope put up 25 points with five rebounds and two assists alongside three blocks. Joshua O’Garro added 17 points with nine boards, while Dylan Dawson had 13 points with six rebounds and a pair of assists.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

Over on the Arkansas State side, they’ve got a couple of instances of consecutive losses so far this season, but outside of that, it’s been very smooth sailing. The Red Wolves went 5-3 over their first eight outings, falling to Alabama, Rice, and Hofstra amid wins versus Akron, Little Rock, Stephen F. Austin, Lane College, and Indiana State. A win streak over Jackson State, Memphis, Texas Arlington, UAB, Coastal Carolina, and Old Dominion came after that, then losses to James Madison and South Alabama. The Red Wolves would then hit another win streak over the next three outings. Those came versus Troy, Louisiana, and Georgia State in succession for a 14-5 overall run through 19 games for Arkansas State.

Matched up against App State on Thursday, the Red Wolves were able to notch another win. Arkansas State was up 30-25 in the locker room, then finished off on a 35-30 run for a 65-55 result. Tops in scoring was Kobe Julien with his 18 points and five rebounds. Joseph Pinion added 14 points with four rebounds and two blocks, and Taryn Todd chipped in with 12 points, six rebounds, two assists, one steal, and one block in the victory.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won each of its last 13 games at First National Bank Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Texas State has lost the first half in five of its last six road games.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won four of its last five games.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction

I’ll go with Arkansas State. The Red Wolves do need a bounce-back effort here, however, even though they recorded a win over App State in their last outing. Arkansas State shot a rough 36.4 percent from the field with 23.1 percent from 3-point range in that one but powered it out thanks to a 43-39 rebounding edge and just six turnovers. The Red Wolves had scored 83 or more points in each of the previous three outings (all wins) so the 65 points is quite the disappointment—even during a victory. Texas State has hit 74 or more points in five straight games themselves (a 4-1 run), so this matchup could be bound for a high total. In the end, I like the Red Wolves to pull one out during a pretty entertaining matchup.