Texas A&M Commerce vs Northwestern State Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas A&M–Commerce Lions and the Northwestern State Demons will meet on Wednesday night in a Southland Conference matchup at Prather Coliseum in Natchitoches, Louisiana.

East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Betting Preview

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions enter Wednesday evening’s contest with an 8–15 win-loss record, including a 3-10 mark in conference play and a 1-12 record on the road. The Lions have compiled wins over Army, Southeast Louisiana and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights, while losing games to Rice, Connecticut, Hawaii, Stephen F. Austin and the Texas A&M Aggies. In the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions convincing 84-67 victory over the Army Black Knights earlier this season, East Texas A&M Commerce guard Damian Garcia accumulated 20 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 block illustrating his ability to perform at a high level.

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions average 67.9 points on 41.3 percent shooting from the field and 31.2 percent from three-point range per game. Through 23 games played in 2025, the Lions are allowing opponents 78.2 points per contest which ranks an abysmal 272nd in the nation.

Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions frontcourt averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal a game.

Northwestern State Demons Betting Preview

The Northwestern State Demons enter Wednesday’s game with a 6–16 record, including a 5–4 mark at home and a 4–9 record at home. The Demons have compiled wins over Southern–New Orleans, Southeastern Louisiana and Ecclesia College, while dropping games to California, McNeese, Southern and the Texas A&M Aggies. Last month, in the Northwestern State Demons dominant 108–55 victory over Southern–New Orleans, Demons guard Micah Thomas amassed 20 points (6 of 11 shooting from the field), 2 rebounds, 4 assists and 4 steals illustrating his ability to lead the Northwestern State backcourt.

The Northwestern State Demons are averaging 68.5 points on 43.9 percent shooting from the field and 33.8 percent shooting from behind the arc per game. Defensively, the Demons are allowing opponents 77.2 points per game.

Senior guard Micah Thomas leads the Northwestern State Demons averaging 16.1 points, 1.8 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1 steal per game. Sophomore guard Justin Redmond provides the Demons with further backcourt versatility averaging 9.8 points, 1.7 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 1 steal per contest, while junior guard Izzy Miles is averaging 10 points, 1.8 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 0.5 steals per game. 

Why the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Will Win

•            Balance scoring. Harrison and Garcia have the potential to perform at a high level from an offensive perspective.

•            Guard play. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal a game.

 •           Quality frontcourt play. Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the Lions frontcourt averaging 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.2 steals per game.

Why the Northwestern State Demons Will Win

•             Quality guard play. Senior guard Micah Thomas leads the Demons with 16.1 points on 43.9 percent shooting from the field per game.

•             Balanced scoring. Micah Thomas, Justin Redmond and Izzy Miles combine for 36 points per contest.

•             Home court advantage. The Northwestern State Demons are 5-4 at home this season.

East Texas A&M Commerce vs. Northwestern State

Texas A&M–Commerce has shown flashes of strong guard play, but the team’s recent defensive inconsistency and inability to finish possessions on the road remain major concerns. In my view, the Northwestern State Demons pace, quality perimeter shooting and home court edge make the Demons the side to be on this game. In summary, I am backing the Northwestern State Demons in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Northwestern State TBA