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Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction 2/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Tennessee Volunteers | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-6 | 16-7 |
| Spread | +1.5 -122 | -1.5 102 |
| Moneyline | -108 | -112 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-110) | Under 144.5 (-110) |
| Where | Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY | |
| When | Saturday, February 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Kentucky Wildcats Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats have a 16-7 overall record and a 7-3 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 94-78 home win against Oklahoma and their previous three games were an 85-77 road win against Arkansas, an 80-55 road loss against Vanderbilt and a 72-63 home win against Mississippi.
Offensively, Kentucky averages 81.9 points per game, while allowing 71.3 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 47% from the field and grab 38.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.3 assists per game. They average 4.9 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.
Otega Oweh leads Kentucky in scoring, with an average of 17 points per game, while shooting with 47.6% from the field and 73% from the free throw line. Malachi Moreno is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.3 per game. Denzel Aberdeen leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers have a 16-6 overall record and a 6-3 record in the SEC. They are coming off an 84-66 home win against Mississippi and their previous three games were a 77-69 home win against Auburn, an 86-85 road win against Georgia and a 79-73 road loss against Alabama.
Offensively, Tennessee averages 82.2 points per game, while allowing 69.6 points per game defensively. The Volunteers shoot with 48% from the field and grab 43 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads Tennessee in scoring, with an average of 18.6 points per game, while shooting with 42% from the field and 81.4% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.4 assists. Nate Ament is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.4 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers @ Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends: February 7, 2026
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won 14 of its last 15 night games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center following a home win.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last three road games as an AP-ranked team.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Tennessee’s last five games.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last eight February games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Kentucky has lost seven of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 night games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last 12 games have produced a total of 145+ points.
- Each of Kentucky’s last seven Saturday night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 160+ points.
Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction
In this Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Kentucky is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have been very good this season and have almost identical overall records and exactly 16 total wins each. They have also almost identical ATS records and are both coming into this matchup in very good form, as they are 7-1 and 5-1 in their last 8 and 6 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 12-3 to the over in their last 15 games combined, as they have both have excellent offenses this season, scoring 164.1 points per game combined. Their previous meeting earlier this season also went over the total so I expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over 144 points in this one.
