TCU vs Cincinnati Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

The TCU Horned Frogs are visiting the Cincinnati Bearcats on Saturday, February 22nd at the Fifth Third Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction. We will examine:

The Cincinnati Bearcats recent form and player performance

The TCU Horned Frogs recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati Bearcats

Recent betting trends and streaks involving TCU Horned Frogs

Recent betting trends in games played between TCU Horned Frogsand Cincinnati Bearcats

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats game

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats have a 15-11 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the Big 12. Cincinnati is coming off a 59-62 loss in West Virginia. The Bearcats are 11-14-1 against the spread, and 7-19 in over/under, while having a 10-4 home record. 

Offensively, Cincinnati is averaging 71.6 points per game, which ranks 256th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65 points per game, which is the 24th-best nationally. The Bearcats shoot with 45.5% from the field (145th), and with 33.3% from beyond the arc (218th). The Bearcats shoot with just 65.7% from the free-throw line (343rd), and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game (225th).

Jizzle James leads Cincinnati in scoring with an average of 12.2 points, 3 rebounds and a team-high 3.8 assists, while Simas Lukosius adds 11.4 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs have a 15-11 record this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the Big 12. TCU is coming off a 69-66 win over Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs are 10-16 against the spread, and 8-17-1 in over/under, while having a 2-6 road record.

Offensively, TCU is averaging 68.2 points per game, which ranks 319th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68 points per game (68th). The Horned Frogs shoot with 42.2% from the field (315th), and with 30.7% from beyond the arc (334th). The Horned Frogs shoot with 64.9% from the free-throw line (350th), and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game (241st).

Noah Reynolds leads TCU in scoring with an average of 12.9 points and a team-high 3.2 assists, while Vesean Allette adds 11.7 points and 4 rebounds per game.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won each of its last 14 games at Fifth Third Arena when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• TCU has lost the first half in each of its last seven Saturday day road games against the Big 12 Conference.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• Cincinnati has lost each of its last five games following a road loss.
• TCU has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• TCU has won the first half in each of its last three games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of TCU’s last 15 Saturday road games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 134+ points.
• Five of Cincinnati’s last six day games at Fifth Third Arena have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cincinnati ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (9.5).
• Cincinnati ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.6).
• TCU ranks T30th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.4).
• TCU ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.2).

TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 wins in their two previous meetings, with each one winning at home. In their most recent meeting last season, TCU won 75-57 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total. 

In this TCU Horned Frogs vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical records this season, but Cincinnati has been very strong at home, while on the other hand, TCU has been struggling on the road. Both teams have been elite defensively, ranking on the top-70 of the nation in points allowed, and as a result, they are playing mostly lower-scoring games this season, as they are 38-15 to the under combined. I expect another defensively battle today, so take the under the point total in this one.