Jan 20, 2026; Waco, Texas, USA;  Baylor Bears guard Isaac Williams (10) drives to the basket ahead of Texas Tech Red Raiders forward Lejuan Watts (3) during the second half at Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
Chris Jones-Imagn Images

TCU vs Baylor Prediction 1/24/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears
Team Records 12-7 11-7
Spread +4.5 -110 -4.5 -110
Moneyline +154 -185
Total Over 147.5 (-110) Under 147.5 (-110)
Where Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
When Saturday, January 24, 2026
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

In this article, we will formulate a TCU vs Baylor Prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Preview


Baylor Bears have an 11-7 record this season and are tied in the 13th place of the Big 12. They have a 1-5 conference record and are coming off a 92-73 home win against Texas Tech. Their previous three games were an 80-62 away loss against Kansas, a 94-79 away win against Oklahoma State and a 77-55 home win against Houston.

Offensively, Baylor averages 86.3 points per game, while allowing 75.9 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 49% from the field and grab 39.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.7 assists per game. They average 4.9 blocks per game and 6.8 steals per game defensively.

Chad Carr leads Baylor in scoring, with an average of 20.4 points per game, while shooting with 53.9% from the field and 76% from the free throw line. Chris Powell is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.3 per game. Osei Agbim leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview


TCU Horned Frogs have a 12-7 record this season and are tied in the 9th place of the Big 12. They have a 2-4 conference record and are coming off a 68-65 home win against Oklahoma State. Their previous three games were an 82-79 away win against Utah, a 76-70 away loss against BYU and an 86-73 home loss against Arizona.

Offensively, TCU averages 79.1 points per game, while allowing 69.3 points per game defensively. The Horned Frogs shoot with 46% from the field and grab 36.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.6 assists per game. They average 5.5 blocks per game and 7.6 steals per game defensively.

David Punch leads TCU in scoring, with an average of 14.6 points per game, while shooting with 54.1% from the field and 61.4% from the free throw line. Punch is also the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game. Billy Harding leads the team in assists with 6.3 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: January 24, 2026


Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Baylor has won each of its last 12 games at Foster Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • TCU has lost each of its last six road games against Conference opponents.
  • Baylor has won the first half in each of its last 11 games at Foster Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

  • TCU has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost each of its last four games against Conference opponents at Foster Pavilion.
  • Baylor has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Baylor’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Foster Pavilion have produced a total of 164+ points.
  • Twelve of TCU’s last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

TCU vs Baylor Prediction


In this TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Baylor is coming as -4.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and exactly 7 defeats each. Baylor has been strong at home but has been struggling lately, with a 1-5 record both straight up and against the spread in its last 6 games. On the flip side, TCU has been winless on the road and have not been in good form either, as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 1-3 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. Both offenses have been shaky lately and as a result, both teams are 10-6 to the under in their last 16 games combined and the under has been 7-3 in their last 10 meetings. I expect a low-scoring affair today, so take the under 150.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 150.5

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