Stephen F. Austin vs Texas A&M Commerce Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The East Texas A&M Lions and the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks will meet on Monday evening in a Southland Conference matchup at The Field House in Commerce, Texas.

East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Betting Preview

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions enter Sunday afternoon’s contest with a 6–6 win-loss record, including a 3–0 record at home this season. The Lions have compiled wins over Army, Southeast Louisiana and the Farleigh Dickinson Knights, while losing games to Rice, Connecticut, Hawaii and the Texas A&M Aggies. In the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions 84-67 victory over the Army Black Knights last month, East Texas A&M Commerce guard Damian Garcia tallied 20 points, 2 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 block illustrating his ability to lead the Lions backcourt.

The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions average 69.3 points on 41.7 percent shooting from the field and 31.9 percent from three-point range per game. The Lions are allowing opponents 77.9 points per game.

Junior forward Ronnie Harrison leads the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions frontcourt averaging 14.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Senior guard Damian Garcia provides the Lions with quality backcourt play averaging 10.4 points, 2.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.2 steals a game.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Betting Preview

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks enter Monday’s contest with a 9–2 overall record, including a 6–0 mark at home and a 2–2 record on the road. The Lumberjacks have compiled wins over Arkansas State, UL Monroe, Rice and UT Rio Grande Valley, while dropping games to UT Arlington and the Fresno State Bulldogs. In Stephen F. Austin’s 103–55 win over Dallas College one week ago, Stephen F. Austin guard Keon Thompson tallied 14 points (5 of 8 shooting from the field), 5 rebounds, 5 rebounds, 8 assists and 1 steal.

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks average 76.3 points on 45.4 percent shooting from the field and 37.6 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Lumberjacks are allowing opponents 66.9 points per game which ranks 36th in the country.

Senior guard Keon Thompson leads the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks with 17.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. Senior forward Jerald Colonel contributes 5.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, giving the Lumberjacks a strong interior presence.

Why the East Texas A&M Commerce Lions Will Win

•            Perimeter shooting. Harrison and Garcia have the potential to perform at a high level from an offensive perspective.

•            Home court advantage. The East Texas A&M Commerce Lions are 3–0 at home this season.

Why the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Will Win

• Quality guard play.  Senior guard Keon Thompson leads the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks with 17.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game

• Interior dominance. Jerald Colonel averages 5.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 3.8 blocks per game.

East Texas A&M Commerce vs. Stephen F. Austin Prediction

This matchup features Stephen F. Austin’s high‑powered offense and interior strength against an East Texas A&M team that has been strong at home and defends aggressively. Look for the Lions to lean on Ronnie Harrison’s efficient scoring and Damian Garcia’s playmaking, while the Lumberjacks will counter with Keon Thompson’s all‑around production and Jerald Colonel’s rim protection.

East Texas A&M has been competitive at home, but their offensive inconsistency and turnover issues present a difficult matchup against an SFA team that scores efficiently, rebounds well, and protects the paint. If the Lumberjacks maintain their offensive rhythm and control the interior, they should be able to create separation and secure a conference road victory.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Stephen F. Austin -6.5