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St. Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

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Gonzaga (21-7) vs St. Mary's (24-4)

February 22, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Gonzaga -6.5 — Over/Under: 141.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a St Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday,  February 22nd, at the McCarthy Athletic Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Gaels’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bulldogs’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St Mary’s

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Gonzaga

-Recent betting trends in games played between St Mary’s and Gonzaga

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Gaels and Bulldogs. 

When these two teams faced off on February 1st, Saint Mary’s secured the 62-58 victory. Saint Mary’s got out to a fast start, scoring 36 points in the first half, and that was the difference.

Saint Mary’s Just Keeps Winning

Saint Mary’s keeps winning games, and they have won four games in a row. The defense has been good, but lately, the offense has been ultra-impressive, too. Saint Mary’s scored 79 points against Portland, and they won by 13 points. The offense scored 43 points in the second half to seal the deal. Paulius Murauskas had a huge game, putting up 20 points, 11 rebounds, and one assist. The last loss came on February 6th against the San Francisco 49ers by only a point. 

The Gaels sit with a 24-4 record overall and 7-1 on the road, which is even more impressive. The offense has been good, but the defense is the real bread and butter of the team, giving up only 60.7 points. The first-half defense especially has been lockdown, giving up only 27.14 points. The Gaels continue to do a good job of recruiting overseas to find their success. Augustas Marciulionis has been the top player for the team, averaging 14.4 points while shooting 45 percent from the field. He has scored at least 16 points in each of the last five games. 

Why Saint Mary’s Will Beat Gonzaga

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last eight day games against Conference opponents.

Gonzaga Needs This Win

There has been all the chatter this season about this Gonzaga team not being as good as years past, but they could put some of that to bed with a victory in this game. Gonzaga has won five straight games, and the last few games have been pretty convincing. Two games ago against Pepperdine, they won 107-55, and in the last game against Washington State, they went on the road and won 84-63. In the first half against Washington State, they put up 50 points, and they need a fast start here. It was a slow start against Saint Mary’s in the first game, and that did them in. Guard Nolan Hickman had a strong game, putting up 23 points, five assists, and one rebound. 

At home this season, Gonzaga has a straight-up 13-1 record. The offense is averaging 87.8 points, while their defense is giving up 69.5 points. The offense is ranked 2nd in all of college basketball, and that has to be goal number one here, get the offense out to a fast start to put the pressure on. Not many have figured out a way to slow down Graham Ike, and he’s averaging 16.8 points while shooting 58.4 percent from the field. 

St Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction

Saint Mary’s already has a win over Gonzaga this season, and we know they have found success on the road this season. These two teams have good offenses, but Saint Mary’s isn’t too concerned about how good an offense is; they are going to shut it down. Gonzaga couldn’t get the offense going the first time these two teams played, and it will be their problem again in this game. The Gaels are giving up only 60.7 points per game, and if Gonzaga goes higher than that, it won’t be by much. Back Saint Mary’s against the spread. I am also throwing a few dollars on Saint Mary’s on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Saint Mary's +6.5

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