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St. Bonaventure vs VCU Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks

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VCU (25-6) vs St. Bonaventure (22-10)

March 14, 2025 at 11:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: VCU -11.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a St Bonaventure vs VCU Prediction for this college basketball game on Friday, March 14th, at Capital One Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Bonnies’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Rams’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St Bonaventure

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving VCU

-Recent betting trends in games played between St Bonaventure and VCU

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Bonnies and Rams. 

These two teams have faced off twice this season, and they have split the games. 

Can VCU Bounce Back?

VCU is the number one seed in the tournament, but they are coming off a loss in the last game. VCU faced off against the Dayton Flyers, scoring 76 points, but the defense gave up 79 points, leading to a three-point defeat. The defense gave up 51 points in the second half, leading to the defeat. Joe Bamisile was the top player, putting up 18 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. The defense allowed Dayton to have five different players score 10 points. In this game, they can’t let St Bonaventure play such a balanced attack. Two games ago against Duquesne, they secured a 71-62 victory. 

VCU is averaging 77.9 points per game, while its defense is giving up 62.7 points per game. The offense is good, but the defense is often overlooked, and it will be the biggest key here. Max Shulga has been VCU’s top player, averaging 15.5 points while shooting 44.6 percent from the field and 41.3 percent from behind the three-point line. 

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St Bonaventure Has Won Three Straight

St Bonaventure has won three games in a row, and all three games have been close. Two games ago against Davidson, St Bonaventure was able to secure the 64-61 win, and on Thursday knocked off Duquesne 64-59. At halftime, they were down 34-25, but in the second half, they fought back and picked up the win. Lajae Jones had a strong game putting up 18 points and eight rebounds. Melvin Council Jr scored 18 points, two rebounds, and two assists. If they get out to a slow start again in this game, this will be a very long game. 

The Bonnies have a 22-10 overall record. St. Bonaventure is averaging 69.3 points, while its defense is giving up 64.6 points per game. It shoots 45 percent from the field while allowing the opponents to shoot 42 percent. Melvin Council Jr. has been the top player for St. Bonaventure, averaging 14.5 points while shooting 44.9 percent from the field and 30 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why St Bonaventure Will Beat VCU

  • St. Bonaventure has won five of its last six games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
  • St. Bonaventure has won the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Point Facts

  • Each of VCU’s last five games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
  • Seven of St. Bonaventure’s last nine games have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

Matchup League Facts

  • VCU ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+22.9).
  • VCU ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.9).
  • St. Bonaventure ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.8).
  • St. Bonaventure ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (23.2).

St Bonaventure vs VCU Prediction

St Bonaventure continues to play in close games, and it’s going to be much of the same here. St. Bonaventure got out to a slow start on Thursday, but that isn’t going to happen again here. The Bonnies offense is averaging 69.3 points and they are going to find success here. VCU’s defense wasn’t as good in the last game, and they aren’t going to step up. Is it going to be enough for St Bonaventure to win this game? Probably not, but they are going to keep it within a couple of baskets. Back St. Bonaventure against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: St Bonnies +11.5

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