South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction 12/20/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the South Alabama Jaguars will meet on Saturday afternoon in a Sun Belt Conference matchup at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats enter Saturday’s contest with a 7–6 win‑loss record, including a perfect 5–2 record at home. The Bobcats have compiled wins over UTSA, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian, Little Rock and Texas Lutheran, while losing games to Bowling Green, Tulane, Rice, Seattle, and Lehigh. In the Texas State Bobcats 65–56 victory over the Little Rock Trojans last month, forward DJ Hall tallied 12 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists.

The Texas State Bobcats average 68.9 points on 44.6 percent shooting from the field and 32.4 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. The Bobcats are allowing opponents 71.3 points per game.

Freshman forward DJ Hall leads the Texas State Bobcats averaging 12.5 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Senior guard Mark Drone adds 12.2 points, 2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, while junior guard Dimp Pernell contributes 8.8 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars enter Saturday’s contest with a 9–3 record, including a 2–2 mark on the road. The Jaguars have compiled wins over New Mexico State, UTSA and the Coppin State Eagles, while dropping games to North Texas, East Tennessee State, and UAB. In the South Alabama Jaguars 96–92 win over the UL Monroe Warhawks two days ago, South Alabama guard Chaze Harris amassed 38 points (16 of 22 shooting from the field), 5 rebounds, 8 assists and 6 steals showcasing his ability to lead the Jaguars backcourt.

The South Alabama Jaguars average 73.6 points on 46.7 percent shooting from the field and 32.9 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Jaguars are allowing opponents 71.7 points per game.

Junior forward Adam Olsen leads the South Alabama Jaguars averaging 15.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 1 assist per game. Sophomore guard Chaze Harris contributes 16.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. Junior guard Jayden Cooper provides the South Alabama Jaguars with additional quality backcourt play, averaging 11.3 points, 2.5 rebounds, 1.1 assists and 1.4 steals per game.

Why the Texas State Bobcats Will Win

 •            Home court advantage. The Bobcats are 5–2 at Strahan Arena this season.

•             Balanced roster. Drone, Hall, and Pernell provide scoring, rebounding, and defense.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars Will Win

•             Olsen’s scoring. Jaunir forward Adam Olsen leads the team with 15.8 points per game.

•             Guard play. Harris provides reliable scoring and playmaking.

•             Offensive edge. The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 73.6 points per game. Conversely, the Texas State Bobcats are averaging 68.9 points per game.

•             Motivation. The South Alabama Jaguars have lost two of the team’s last three games played this season.

Texas State Bobcats vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction

This matchup features the Texas State Bobcats balanced scoring and rebounding approach against the South Alabama Jaguars quality guard play. I think the Texas State Bobcats will look to lean on Mark Drone’s perimeter scoring and DJ Hall’s rebounding presence, while the South Alabama Jaguars will rely on Harris’s playmaking and Olsen’s interior scoring to keep pace in this one.

In my view, Texas State’s ability to control the boards and protect home court advantage should prove decisive in this matchup. With that said, I think the South Alabama Jaguars quality guard play will keep this competitive late in the game. I expect Texas State to win a close game tomorrow night.

Hans Geevers's Pick: South Alabama TBA