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SMU vs Stanford Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Stanford (18-10) vs SMU (21-7)

March 1, 2025 at 05:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Stanford -1.5 — Over/Under: 150.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The SMU Mustangs are visiting the Stanford Cardinal on Saturday, Match 1st at the Maples Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction. We will examine:

The Stanford Cardinal recent form and player performance

The SMU Mustangs recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Stanford Cardinal

Recent betting trends and streaks involving SMU Mustangs

Recent betting trends in games played between SMU Mustangs and Stanford Cardinal

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal game

Stanford Cardinal Preview

The Stanford Cardinal has a 18-10 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the ACC. The Cardinal are coming off a 78-60 win over Boston College. The Cardinal are 13-15 against the spread, and 13-15 in over/under, while having a 15-2 home record.

Offensively, Stanford is averaging 74.4 points per game, which ranks 167th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71 points per game (152nd). The Cardinal shoot with 43.4% from the field (259th), and with 33.5% from beyond the arc (216th). The Cardinal shoot with 78.8% from the free-throw line, which is the 10th-best in the nation, and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game (210th).

Maxime Raynaud leads Stanford in scoring with an average of 20 points and a team-high 11.1 rebounds, while Oziyah Sellers adds 14 points and 2.8 rebounds per game.  

SMU Mustangs Preview

The SMU Mustangs have a 21-7 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the Atlantic Coast. SMU is coming off an 81-77 win in California. The Mustangs are 14-13-1 against the spread, and 17-11 in over/under, while having a 7-2 road record.

Offensively, SMU is averaging 82.1 points per game, which is 24th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.9 points per game (184th). The Mustangs shoot with 48.3% from the field (32nd), and with 38.4% from beyond the arc (16th). The Mustangs shoot with 72.9% from the free-throw line (148th), and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game (19th).

Kevin Miller leads SMU in scoring this season, with an average of 13.4 points, 3.1 rebounds and a team-high 5.7 assists, while Chuck Harris adds 12.9 points per game.

Why the Stanford Cardinal will win

  • Stanford has won each of its last eight games at Maples Pavilion following a home win.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Stanford’s last four games.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won each of its last six road games.
  • SMU has won the first half in each of its last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Stanford ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.8%).
  • Stanford ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.3).
  • SMU ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (38.4%).
  • SMU ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (39.8).

SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction

SMU has won all three meetings against Stanford, and are 3-0 against the spread. In their previous meeting earlier this season, SMU won 85-61 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal Prediction, Stanford is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have similar records so far this season, and Stanford has been extremely good at home, while SMU has been one of the few very good road teams in the nation. Stanford has been struggling lately, as they are 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 games, while on the other hand, SMU is 7-2 in their last 9 games and 4-2-1 against the spread in their last 6. Take the better team in better form, so give me the SMU Mustangs and the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: SMU Mustangs +1.5

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