SMU vs Florida State Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The SMU Mustangs and Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Tucker Center. Here’s an SMU vs. Florida State prediction. This article will include an SMU vs. Florida State pick.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs lost to Stanford and Miami. SMU has lost 3 straight games.

The SMU Mustangs are averaging 85.2 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 78 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Boopie Miller is averaging 18.9 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Jaron Pierre Jr. is averaging 17.9 points and 1.9 assists. BJ Edwards is the third double-digit scorer and Corey Washington is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The SMU Mustangs are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The SMU Mustangs are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles beat Georgia Tech and Pitt. Florida State has won 8 of its last 10 games.

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 79.6 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 77.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Robert McCray V is averaging 15.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 12.7 points and 3.8 rebounds. Lajae Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Martin Somerville is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 32 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• SMU has lost six of its last seven road day games against conference opponents.
• The home team has won the first half in four of SMU’s last five games.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last six games following a home loss.
• Florida State has lost each of its last three day games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center following a road win.
• SMU has won the first half in seven of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida State’s last five games has produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Eight of SMU’s last 10 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 163+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Florida State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.6).
• SMU ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.9).
• SMU ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (31.0).

SMU vs Florida State Prediction

SMU is probably the more talented team, but it’s had issues on the road and has games where it doesn’t play defense. Florida State is playing its best ball of the season, which includes wins in 8 of its last 10 games. Over the last month Florida State has upset Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Notre Dame. FSU also nearly beat Virginia. Florida State is quietly one of the hottest teams in the ACC. We’re laying a soft number. I have to ride the hot hand. Give me Florida State at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: FSU -1.5