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Seattle vs St. Mary’s Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Seattle Redhawks | St. Mary's Gaels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Where | University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA | |
| When | Sunday, January 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview
Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 14-2 record this season and are in 2nd place in the WCC. They have a 9-0 away record and are coming off a 78-57 home win against Portland. Their previous three games were a 72-45 away win against Pepperdine, a 78-73 away win against Loyola Marymount and a 63-58 home win against Northern Iowa.
Offensively, Saint Mary’s averages 78.5 points per game, while allowing 63.2 points per game defensively. The Gaels shoot with 47% from the field and grab 39.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game defensively.
Paulius Murauskas leads Saint Mary’s in scoring, with an average of 18.6 points per game, while shooting with 48.7% from the field and 82.4% from the free throw line. Andrew McKeever is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.2 per game, while Joshua Dent adds a team-high 4.8 assists per game.
Seattle Redhawks Preview
Seattle Redhawks have a 12-4 record this season and are in 6th place in the WCC. They have a 3-1 away record and are coming off an 80-72 away loss against Gonzaga. Their previous three games were a 69-55 home win against Washington State, a 67-59 home loss against San Francisco and a 71-68 away win against UTSA.
Offensively, Seattle averages 78.3 points per game, while allowing 66.7 points per game defensively. The Redhawks shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 5.4 blocks per game and 8.8 steals per game defensively.
Brayden Maldonado leads Seattle in scoring, with an average of 15.8 points per game, while shooting with 47.1% from the field and 95.1% from the free throw line. Austin Maurer is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.1 per game, while Maleek Arington adds a team-high 4.6 assists per game.
Seattle Redhawks @ Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends: January 4, 2026
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 18 games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
- Seattle has lost four of its last five day games following a road loss.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 18 games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
Why the Seattle Redhawks will win
- Seattle has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Saint Mary’s has lost four of its last five day games at University Credit Union Pavilion following a home win.
- The road team has won the first half in four of Seattle’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Saint Mary’s’ last 11 games against Conference opponents at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Each of Seattle’s last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Saint Mary’s ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (80.5%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (63.2).
- Seattle ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.4).
- Seattle ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.74).
Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Prediction
In this Seattle vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season, but Saint Mary’s has only two defeats in 16 games played and have been perfect at home. Both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they are 5-0 and 7-2 in their last 5 and 9 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. They have both been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 11-3 to the under in their last 14 games combined, as they both play excellent defense, allowing just 129.9 points per game combined. Take the under 140.5 points in this one.
