San José State vs Fresno State Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a San José State vs Fresno State Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 12-17 overall record and a 6-12 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 69-53 home loss against Boise State and their previous three games were a 74-70 road loss against Colorado State, an 80-78 home loss against New Mexico and a 92-82 road loss against Wyoming.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 73.3 points per game, while allowing 72.8 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 34.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.1 assists per game. They average 2 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 16.9 points per game, while shooting with 41.1% from the field and 89% from the free throw line. Wilson Jacques is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.5 per game. Zaon Collins leads the team in assists with 4.6 per game.

San José State Spartans Preview

The San José State Spartans have an 8-21 overall record and a 3-15 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off an 85-73 home loss against Colorado State and their previous three games were an 86-80 road win against Air Force, an 84-69 road loss against Boise State and an 87-71 home win against Nevada.

Offensively, San José State averages 71.3 points per game, while allowing 77.7 points per game defensively. The Spartans shoot with 43% from the field and grab 29.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 10.9 assists per game. They average 2 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.

Colby Garland leads San José State in scoring, with an average of 19.9 points per game, while shooting with 49.4% from the field and 85.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.6 assists. Adrian Myers is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.2 per game.

San Jose State Spartans @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• San Jose State has lost each of its last eight road games following a home loss.
• Fresno State has won 11 of its last 13 night games against San Jose State.
• San Jose State has lost the first half in eight of its last nine road night games against Conference opponents.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

• Fresno State has lost each of its last four games.
• The road team has won three of the last four games between San Jose State and Fresno State.
• The road team has won the first half in four of the last five games between San Jose State and Fresno State.

Total Points Facts

• Each of San Jose State’s last six games have produced a total of 153+ points.
• Twenty-nine of Fresno State’s last 34 home night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

San José State vs Fresno State Prediction

In this San José State vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Fresno State has been the better team this season and has been very strong against the spread with a 19-9 ATS record. Both teams have been struggling lately, as they are 3-7 and 2-8 in their last 10 games respectively, so I will not pick a side in this one. Both teams are 14-4 to the over in their last 18 games combined and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 head-to-head matches, so I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 149.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 149.5