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San José State vs Boise State Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San José State Spartans | Boise State Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-23 | 20-11 |
| Spread | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +900 | -1600 |
| Total | Over 145.5 (-112) | Under 145.5 (-108) |
| Where | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | MWN | |
Boise State Broncos Preview
The Boise State Broncos have a 20-11 overall record and a 12-8 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off a 78-67 road win against Colorado State and their previous three games were an 86-77 home win against San Diego State, a 69-53 road win against Fresno State and a 72-62 home win against Wyoming.
Offensively, Boise State averages 78.3 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game defensively. The Broncos shoot with 46% from the field and grab 35.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 4.6 steals per game defensively.
Drew Fielder leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 14.8 points per game, while shooting with 55% from the field and 78.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.7 rebounds. Dylan Andrews leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.
San José State Spartans Preview
The San José State Spartans have an 8-23 overall record and a 3-17 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off an 88-78 home loss against Wyoming and their previous three games were an 82-68 road loss against Fresno State, an 85-73 home loss against Colorado State and an 86-80 road win against Air Force.
Offensively, San José State averages 71.5 points per game, while allowing 78.2 points per game defensively. The Spartans shoot with 43% from the field and grab 29.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 10.6 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game defensively.
Colby Garland leads San José State in scoring, with an average of 20.3 points per game, while shooting with 49.7% from the field and 84% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.6 assists. Adrian Myers is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.6 per game.
San Jose State Spartans @ Boise State Broncos Betting Trends: March 11, 2026
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won 17 of its last 18 games against San Jose State.
- San Jose State has lost 12 of its last 13 Wednesday night games against Conference opponents.
- Boise State has won the first half in 16 of its last 18 games against San Jose State.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Boise State has lost the first half in each of its last four games at Thomas & Mack Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Jose State’s last eight games have produced a total of 150+ points.
- Each of Boise State’s last eight games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.5).
- Boise State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.4%).
- San Jose State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.8%).
- San Jose State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
San José State vs Boise State Prediction
In this San José State vs Boise State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -15.5 favorites. Boise State has been the better team this season and have been also better against the spread. They have been red-hot lately with five consecutive wins, while on the other hand, San Jose State is struggling with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games and have just one win away from home this season. Boise dominates this matchup with a 9-1 record in its last 10 head-to-head matches against San José State, having won both regular season meetings this season by 15 and 41 points. Take Boise State to win and cover easily the -15.5 spread in this one.
