San Diego vs San Diego State Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/7/24

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San Diego State (5-2) vs San Diego (3-5)

December 7, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State -23.5 / San Diego +23.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Toreros are visiting the San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday, December 7th at the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Toreros vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 5-2 record this season and are coming off an 84-62 win over Fresno State. The Aztecs are 3-3 against the spread, and 3-3 in over/under while having a 2-1 home record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 75.1 points per game, which ranks 197th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 64.3 points per game (39th). The Aztecs shoot 45.7% from the field (157th) and 37.4% from beyond the arc (60th). The Aztecs shoot 64.8% from the free-throw line (330th) and are grabbing 38.4 rebounds per game (107th).

BJ Davis leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 13.7 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 12 points and 5 rebounds.

San Diego Toreros Preview

The San Diego Toreros have a 3-5 record this season and are coming off a 53-90 loss to Arizona State. The Toreros are 2-5 against the spread, and 2-5 in over/under while having a 0-1 road record.

Offensively, San Diego averages 67.5 points per game, which ranks 319th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.3 points per game (210th). The Toreros shoot 41.7% from the field (298th) and 24.2% from beyond the arc, which is the second-worst in the nation. The Toreros shoot 69.7% from the free throw line (224th) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (264th).

Kjay Bradley leads San Diego in scoring this season, with an average of 16.8 points, adding a team-high 3.4 assists, while Santiago Trouet adds 9 points and a team-high 8.1 rebounds. San Diego will take on Long Beach State, Fresno State, and UC San Diego after this game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego has lost each of its last 27 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • San Diego State has won 22 of its last 23 night games against non-conference opponents at Viejas Arena.
  • San Diego has lost the first half in each of its last 18 road games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the San Diego Toreros will win

  • The road team has won each of the last three games between San Diego and San Diego State.
  • San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against the West Coast Conference at Viejas Arena.

San Diego Toreros vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

San Diego State is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against San Diego. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. In this San Diego Toreros vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, San Diego State is coming as a -23.5 home favorite. San Diego State is better both offensively, scoring 7.6 points more than San Diego, and defensively, allowing 8 points less. The Toreros are struggling mightily with their shooting this season, as they rank in the bottom 70 in field goal percentage and have the second-worst 3-point percentage. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the San Diego State Aztecs and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -23.5

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