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San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction 3/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-10 | 27-6 |
| Spread | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | Over 148.5 (-110) | Under 148.5 (-110) |
| Where | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Saturday, March 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBS | |
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs beat New Mexico and Colorado State. San Diego State has won 9 of its last 14 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 13.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while BJ Davis is averaging 10.7 points and 3 rebounds. Miles Byrd is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies beat UNLV and Nevada. Utah State has won 10 of its last 13 games.
The Utah State Aggies are averaging 84.1 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 69.1 points on 41.2 percent shooting. MJ Collins Jr. is averaging 17.9 points and 2.2 rebounds, while Mason Falslev is averaging 16.1 points and 2.9 assists. Karson Templin is dishing out 1 assist, and Kolby King is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Utah State Aggies are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free throw line. The Utah State Aggies are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won each of its last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- San Diego State has lost each of its last three day games against conference opponents.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in three of its last four Conference Tournament day games at the Thomas & Mack Center.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won 12 of its last 15 conference tournament games at the Thomas & Mack Center.
- Utah State has lost each of its last three conference tournament games against San Diego State at the Thomas & Mack Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last 12 Conference Tournament day games has produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Seven of Utah State’s last eight Conference Tournament day games at the Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Utah State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (61.0%).
- Utah State ranks T17th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.7).
- San Diego State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.6).
- San Diego State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.9).
San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction
Utah State has been the better team this season and should be favored, but it’s San Diego State that’s starting to play its best ball and a win like last night only adds to the confidence. San Diego State and Utah State split both meetings this season, and it’s the Aztecs that comfortably won the last effort. There’s a huge crowd edge for San Diego State in this tournament as well. This is likely going to be a physical game where either side can win late. I want the free bucket with San Diego State.
Randy Chambers's Pick: San Diego State +1.5
