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San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-8 | 21-7 |
| Spread | +2.5 -118 | -2.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +124 | -148 |
| Total | Over 149.5 (-105) | Under 149.5 (-115) |
| Where | The Pit, Albuquerque, NM | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBS | |
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Colorado State and beat Utah State, and they play Boise State next. San Diego State has won 11 of its last 15 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 12.9 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 10.7 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.4 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat Fresno State and lost to Nevada, and they play Colorado State next. New Mexico has won 13 of its last 16 games.
The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 80.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 69.5 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 16 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 11.7 points and 9.8 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 29.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won 14 of its last 15 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost three of its last four road day games against conference opponents.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last three games at The Pit against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won 13 of its last 17 games.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of New Mexico’s last six home games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 151+ points.
- Twenty-nine of San Diego State’s last 35 day games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (99.7).
- New Mexico ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+16.1).
- San Diego State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.6%).
- San Diego State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.6).
San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction
New Mexico has been fantastic at home this season and probably should be favored, but it’s also 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. San Diego State rebounded from two straight losses with a blowout win over Utah State and has a defense that travels. San Diego State has five road wins this season. San Diego State looked comfortable offensively in the first meeting against New Mexico last month. You can argue the Aztecs are the better team when both teams are at their best. I’ll grab the free bucket with San Diego State.
