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San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-9 | 18-11 |
| Spread | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-105) | Under 144.5 (-115) |
| Where | ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID | |
| When | Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
The San Diego State Aztecs and Boise State Broncos meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the ExtraMile Arena. Here’s a San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a San Diego State vs Boise State Pick.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs lost to New Mexico and beat Utah State, and they play UNLV next. San Diego State has won 11 of its last 16 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.2 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 70.5 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 12.6 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 10.9 points and 4.6 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.4 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos beat Wyoming and Fresno State, and they play Colorado State next. Boise State has won 3 straight games.
The Boise State Broncos are averaging 78.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 73.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Drew Fielder is averaging 13.9 points and 1.3 assists, while Dylan Andrews is averaging 12.4 points and 2.6 rebounds. Andrew Meadow is the third double-digit scorer and Javan Buchanan is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Boise State Broncos are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The Boise State Broncos are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 10 Tuesday night games at ExtraMile Arena.
- San Diego State has lost each of its last five night games at ExtraMile Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games at ExtraMile Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won 12 of its last 14 night games against conference opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Nine of San Diego State’s last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Six of Boise State’s last seven home games have produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Boise State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.1%).
- Boise State ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.0).
- San Diego State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.6).
- San Diego State ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.8).
San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction
You can argue San Diego State is the more talented team, but it’s been shaky over these last couple of weeks and the defense has taken a step back. Boise State is usually a handful at home and its done a fine job of winning the games its supposed to win over the last week. Boise State took San Diego State to overtime in early January and nearly won as 4.5-point dogs. This is senior night for five seniors. Expect a packed house in this intriguing MWC showdown. I’ll lean toward the Broncos.
