Samford vs New Mexico State Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Samford Bulldogs and the New Mexico State Aggies meet Friday in college basketball action from Pan American Center. Here’s a Samford vs New Mexico State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Samford vs New Mexico State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Samford Bulldogs Betting Preview

Samford has managed to play six games already this year. The Bulldogs’ opening game was a loss 85-72 versus Tulane. Jadin Booth led the way in that one with 34 points, three rebounds and two assists along the way. Samford managed a win in game two over South Carolina State 82-72. Booth was tops in that one as well with 26 points and six rebounds. Samford made it consecutive victories versus Texas Southern in overtime 93-90 for game three. Booth was the leader with 23 points and nine boards, while Keaton Norris had 22 points, eight boards and five assists. The Bulldogs would then fall versus Arkansas in game four by a close margin 79-75. Cade Norris and Zion Wilburn each had 15 points to top the team. In another overtime game versus Central Arkansas last weekend, Samford got a victory 84-77. Jadin Booth paced the team with 21 points, five rebounds and three assists. Keaton Norris added 18 points, seven assists and five rebounds in the winning effort.

In Wednesday’s matchup with Florida Gulf Coast, the Bulldogs trailed 41-33 going into the second half and scored just 29 points the rest of the way in a 77-62 defeat. Jadin Booth posted 27 points in 36 minutes during the loss for the Bulldogs. Dylan Faulkner added 14 points and seven rebounds as well.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

Over on the New Mexico State side, they’ve been comparatively inactive with just three games in the books so far. The Aggies took on Adams State in their November 4 opener and managed to power out an 83-72 victory. New Mexico State’s top scorer was Jemel Jones with 23 points and nine rebounds. Cyr Malonga added 16 points and six boards while Julius Mims had 12 points with eight rebounds. In game two versus New Mexico Highlands, the Aggies were up by a modest five points at halftime but rode the wave from there in a 74-58 win. Jones had 24 points this time, and Anthony Wrzeszcz added 15 points with two rebounds in 24 minutes.

Last weekend versus New Mexico, the Aggies went into the break with a 27-27 tie. New Mexico State hit a 49-41 run the rest of the way however, resulting in a 76-68 win in the end. Tops in scoring was Anthony Wrzeszcz with 16 points and three assists, while Jemel Jones put up 15 points and five rebounds. Elijah Elliott added 11 points, four rebounds and four assists.

Samford Bulldogs @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: November 21, 2025

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last nine home games following a home win.
• New Mexico State has won the first half in six of its last seven games at Pan American Center.

Why the Samford Bulldogs will win

• Samford has won three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Samford vs New Mexico State Prediction

I’ll lean toward New Mexico State. The Aggies had a good second half versus the Lobos last weekend in their most recent outing and won the game despite shooting a tepid 41.1 percent from the field alongside a 35-33 rebounding deficit.. New Mexico State hit some opportune shots down the stretch though, and controlled the ball well with just eight turnovers. We haven’t gotten to see a whole lot out of New Mexico State yet this year; the matchup with New Mexico was their only real relative challenge so far. That said, the Aggies should be able to handle Samford if all goes well—I’d like to see the shooting percentage creep a bit higher, though.

Andrew Jett's Pick: New Mexico State Aggies -8.5