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Sam Houston State vs Liberty Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Sam Houston State Bearkats | Liberty Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-9 | 24-6 |
| Spread | +4.5 -108 | -4.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Total | Over 155.5 (-110) | Under 155.5 (-110) |
| Where | Liberty Arena (VA), Lynchburg, VA | |
| When | Saturday, March 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Sam Houston State Bearkats Betting Preview
The Sam Houston State Bearkats beat Missouri State and lost to Delaware. Sam Houston State has won 10 of its last 12 games.
The Sam Houston State Bearkats are averaging 83.3 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 74.3 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Po’Boigh King is averaging 14.4 points and 2 rebounds, while Jacob Walker is averaging 11.2 points and 2 rebounds. Veljko Ilic is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Manning is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Sam Houston State Bearkats are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Sam Houston State Bearkats are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.5 rebounds per game.
Liberty Flames Betting Preview
The Liberty Flames beat Jacksonville State and lost to LA Tech. Liberty has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
The Liberty Flames are averaging 78.4 points on 51.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Brett Decker Jr. is averaging 16.9 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Kaden Metheny is averaging 13.4 points and 3.1 rebounds. Colin Porter is the third double-digit scorer and Zach Cleveland is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Liberty Flames are shooting 40.3 percent from beyond the arc and 70.3 percent from the free throw line. The Liberty Flames are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won 19 of its last 20 Saturday home games against conference opponents.
- Sam Houston State has lost nine of its last 11 road day games against conference opponents.
- Liberty has won the first half in 27 of its last 31 games at Liberty Arena (Lynchburg).
Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win
- Sam Houston State has won 12 of its last 14 games.
- Liberty has lost three of its last four games.
- Sam Houston State has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games.
Total Points Facts
- Thirty-four of Liberty’s last 39 games against conference opponents at Liberty Arena (Lynchburg) have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
- Each of Sam Houston State’s last four games has produced a total of 160+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Liberty ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (61.5%).
- Liberty ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.93).
- Sam Houston State ranks T14th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.7).
- Sam Houston State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.8).
Sam Houston State vs Liberty Prediction
Liberty has been at its best at home and already beat Sam Houston State on the road this season. I get it. However, these are the two best teams in the CUSA, so getting points has value. Liberty is 11-16 ATS on the season. Sam Houston State is 18-9 ATS on the season and has six road wins. Liberty has failed to cover 8 of its last 9 games overall. I’m going to grab the points with Sam Houston State, a game it could easily get revenge and win outright.
