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Sacramento State vs UC Davis Prediction 11/14/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Sacramento State Hornets | UC Davis Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Where | University Credit Union Center, Davis, CA | |
| When | Friday, November 14, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UC Davis Aggies Preview
UC Davis has a 2-1 record this season and are tied for 5th place in the Big West conference. They are 1-1 ATS, 1-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-1 away record. UC Davis is coming off a 63-67 away loss against Portland and will face Nevada, Colorado and Louisiana next.
Offensively, UC Davis averages 79.7 points per game, which ranks 187th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 68.0 points per game (131st). The Aggies shoot with 46.7% from the field (166th), and with 36.8% from beyond the arc (107th). They shoot with 68.3% from the free throw line (228th), and grab 38 rebounds per game (192nd), while dishing out 15.7 assists per game (162nd) and committing 15.3 turnovers per game (295th).
Connor Sevilla leads UC Davis in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points. Nils Cooper follows with 17 points and 5 rebounds per game, while Isaiah Chappell adds 13.7 points and 3.7 rebounds per game.
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
Sacramento State has a 2-1 record this season and are tied for 3rd place in the Big Sky conference. They are 1-0 ATS, 1-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 0-0 away record. Sacramento State is coming off an 87-92 home loss against UC Santa Barbara and will face Presbyterian, UCLA and California next.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 92.0 points per game, which ranks 61st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 82.3 points per game (295th). The Hornets shoot with 49.5% from the field (85th), and with 46.8% from beyond the arc (9th). They shoot with 73.4% from the free throw line (126th), and grab 41 rebounds per game (126th), while dishing out 18.7 assists per game (67th) and committing 13.3 turnovers per game (208th).
Mikey Williams leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 18.7 points and 6.3 assists. Prophet Johnson follows with 18 points and 10.3 rebounds per game, while Jeremiah Cherry adds 17.3 points and 9.7 rebounds per game.
Sacramento State Hornets @ UC Davis Aggies Betting Trends: November 14, 2025
Why the UC Davis Aggies will win
- Sacramento State has lost each of its last seven games against the Big West Conference.
- The home team has won each of UC Davis’ last three games.
- Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- UC Davis has lost eight of its last 10 games.
- Sacramento State has won the first half in four of its last five night games against UC Davis.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UC Davis’ last 15 night games against non-Conference opponents at University Credit Union Center have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
- Eight of Sacramento State’s last nine night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Sacramento State vs UC Davis Prediction
In this Sacramento State vs UC Davis Prediction, UC Davis is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season and are both coming off their first defeats of the season. UC Davis is back at home where it has won both of its matches, while Sacramento State is being tested for the first time on the road. The Hornets have a terrible defense, allowing 14.3 points per game more than UC Davis and I don’t expect them to pose a threat on the road so early in the season. Take UC Davis and lay the -5.5 points at home.
