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Sacramento State vs California Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Sacramento State Hornets | California Golden Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Spread | +21.5 -105 | -21.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +1600 | -4000 |
| Total | Over 155.5 (-112) | Under 155.5 (-108) |
| Where | Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, CA | |
| When | Friday, November 21, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ACC Extra | |
California Golden Bears Preview
California has a 4-1 record this season and are in 10th place in the ACC conference. They are 3-2 ATS, 1-3-1 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 0-1 away record. California is coming off a 67-57 home win against Presbyterian and will face UCLA, Utah and Pacific next.
Offensively, California averages 84 points per game, which ranks 117th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 69.6 points per game (119th). The Golden Bears shoot with 48.8% from the field (89th), and with 35.3% from beyond the arc (130th). They shoot with 77.6% from the free throw line (41st), and grab 36.2 rebounds per game (242nd), while dishing out 16.0 assists per game (140th) and committing 12 turnovers per game (141st).
Dai Dai Ames leads California in scoring, with an average of 19.4 points and 3 assists. John Camden follows with 15 points and 4 rebounds per game, while Chris Bell adds 14.6 points and 3 rebounds per game.
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
Sacramento State has a 3-3 record this season and are tied for 6th place in the Big Sky conference. They are 2-2 ATS, 1-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-2 away record. Sacramento State is coming off a 48-79 road loss against UCLA and will face San Francisco State, Pacific and Baylor next.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 76.8 points per game, which ranks 225th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 77.5 points per game (253rd). The Hornets shoot with 44.1% from the field (233rd), and with 36% from beyond the arc (105th). They shoot with 72.3% from the free throw line (156th), and grab 38.5 rebounds per game (261st), while dishing out 14.8 assists per game (183rd) and committing 14.0 turnovers per game (264th).
Prophet Johnson leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 15.8 points and 9 rebounds and 4 assists. Jeremiah Cherry follows with 15.5 points and 8 rebounds per game, while Mikey Williams adds 15.2 points and 5 assists per game.
Sacramento State Hornets @ California Golden Bears Betting Trends: November 21, 2025
Why the California Golden Bears will win
- Sacramento State has lost each of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.
- California has won 12 of its last 13 home games against non-Conference opponents.
- California has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 home games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- California has lost each of its last five Friday games against non-Conference opponents.
- California has lost the first half in four of its last five night games against the Big Sky Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Sacramento State’s last eight road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Each of California’s last four night games against the Big Sky Conference have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Sacramento State vs California Prediction
In this Sacramento State vs California Prediction, California is coming as -20.5 home favorites. California has been excellent this season, having lost only once in their five games played and have been undefeated at home, where they will be playing their 5th out of their 6 games so far. Cal is better both offensively and defensively, having a +14.4 point differential and I expect them to take care of business at home. Take California and lay the points.
