Sacramento State vs Baylor Prediction 12/2/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Sacramento State Hornets and the Baylor Bears meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Foster Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Sacramento State Hornets vs. Baylor Bears prediction.

Sacramento State Hornets Recap

The Sacramento State Hornets come into this game looking to rebound from a 68-54 loss to Pacific last time out to sit at 4-5 this season. After this game, Sacramento State will head on the road for a game against Cal Baptist.

Hornets Looking For Upset On The Road

Jeremiah Cherry leads the Hornets in scoring with 15.5 PPG along with 8.2 RPG while Prophet Johnson has 14.9 PPG with a team-high 8.9 RPG to lead the Hornets in rebounding along with 3.8 APG as well this season. Mikey Williams has 13.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.6 APG to lead the Hornets in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Sacramento State so far this season. Jahni Summers also has 9.2 PPG with 2.4 RPG and Jayden Teat has 7.9 PPG. As a team, Sacramento State is averaging 75.1 PPG on 41% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three and 73.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Baylor Bears Recap

The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 91-81 win over San Diego State last time out to sit at 5-1 this season. After this game, Baylor will take on Memphis on the road.

Bears Looking To Build Momentum

Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring with 22.7 PPG along with 5.2 RPG and Tounde Yessoufou has 15.5 PPG with 6 RPG while Dan Skillings Jr. has 11.5 PPG with a team-high 6.5 RPG along with 2.5 APG to lead the Bears in rebounding. Obi Agbim has 11.2 PPG with a team-high 4.3 APG to lead the Bears in assists and Isaac Williams IV has 10.3 PPG with 2.5 APG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Baylor. Michael Rataj has 8.8 PPG with 5.8 RPG and Caden Powell has 5.8 PPG with 6 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Baylor is averaging 86.8 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 74.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: December 2, 2025

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Sacramento State has lost each of its last 11 night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Baylor has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Baylor has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 games at Foster Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-two of Sacramento State’s last 25 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Twenty-four of Baylor’s last 30 games have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Baylor ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (78.7%).
• Baylor ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.8).
• Sacramento State ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.1).

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Baylor Bears Prediction

I’m on Baylor here. It’s a massive number for a Baylor team that admittedly has been guilty of playing with their food this season in spots against inferior opponents. However, Sacramento State at times has had issues taking the step up in class as they’ve been drilled by Cal and UCLA already this season and the offense for Sac State just isn’t good enough to keep them in these games. Give me Baylor in a beatdown.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Baylor -29.5