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Richmond vs Dayton Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Dayton (19-9) vs Richmond (10-19)

March 1, 2025 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -14 — Over/Under: 138

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Richmond vs Dayton prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 1st at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Richmond Spiders Betting Preview

The Richmond Spiders are 10-19 (5-11) this year after they lost to VCU by a score of 78-60 in their last game. Richmond trailed 51-33 at halftime and only scored 27 points in the second half in the loss. The Spiders shot 44.4% from the field, 40% on three pointers, and 57.1% on free throws in the game. Dusan Neskovic led Richmond with 16 points and four assists, while Mikkel Tyne added 12 points and two rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Spiders lost to St. Joe’s by a score of 78-62, but did beat La Salle by a score of 63-58 before that. Richmond has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third to last in the A-10 standings with a 5-11 record. Richmond has scored 67.2 points per game and they have allowed 72.2 points against per game, while also averaging 31.1 rebounds and 11.6 assists per game this season. Dusan Neskovic is averaging 13.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 0.7 assists per game, while Mikkel Tyne is averaging 9.4 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. Richmond is shooting 42% from the field, 78.9% on free throws, and 31.5% on three pointers this season. 

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 19-9 (9-6) this season after they defeated Rhode Island by a score of 85-77 in their last game. Dayton led 33-30 at halftime and added 52 points in the second half in the win. The Flyers shot 49.1% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 91.3% on free throws in the game. Nate Santos led Dayton with 19 points and three rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks added 15 points and eight rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Flyers lost to Loyola by a score of 76-72, but did beat Duquesne by a score of 77-76 before that. Dayton has won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for fourth in the A-10 standings with a 9-6 record. Dayton has scored 75.4 points per game and they have allowed 70.1 points against per game, while also averaging 33.4 rebounds and 15.3 assists per game this season. Nate Santos is averaging 14.1 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13.1 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Dayton is shooting 46.5% from the field, 74.6% on free throws, and 35.7% on three pointers this season. 

Why Dayton will beat Richmond 

  • Dayton has won each of its last 18 day games at University of Dayton Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Richmond has lost each of its last four day games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
  • Richmond has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Richmond vs Dayton Prediction 

Dayton comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they will be at home for this game. The Flyers are shooting 46.5% from the field this year and they have scored at least 77 points in three of their last four games. Richmond has lost two games in a row and they are just 5-11 in conference play. The Spiders are shooting 42% from the field this year and they are 1-6 in their last seven road games. Richmond has had some struggles defensively this year and they have allowed at least 78 points in each of their last three losses. It has been very tough to trust this Dayton team so far this season, but I am going to take them to cover at home. 

David Racey's Pick: Dayton -14

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