Providence vs St. John’s Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Providence vs St. John’s Prediction for this Big East Tournament quarterfinal on Thursday, March 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

St. John’s Red Storm Preview

The St. John’s Red Storm have a 25-6 overall record and an 18-2 record in the Big East conference. They are coming off a 72-65 road win against Seton Hall and their previous three games were a 72-69 home win against Georgetown, an 89-57 home win against Villanova and a 72-40 road loss against Connecticut.

Offensively, St. John’s averages 81.9 points per game, while allowing 70.5 points per game defensively. The Red Storm shoot with 45% from the field and grab 38.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.4 assists per game. They average 4.8 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.

Zuby Ejiofor leads St. John’s in scoring, with an average of 16 points per game, while shooting with 54.6% from the field and 70.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.1 rebounds and a team-high 3.5 assists.

Providence Friars Preview

The Providence Friars have a 15-17 overall record and a 7-13 record in the Big East conference. They are coming off a 91-81 home win against Butler and their previous three games were an 80-79 road loss against Georgetown, a 78-56 home loss against Marquette and a 79-76 road win against Creighton.

Offensively, Providence averages 85.7 points per game, while allowing 84 points per game defensively. The Friars shoot with 48% from the field and grab 38.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 4 blocks per game and 5.4 steals per game defensively.

Jaylin Sellers leads Providence in scoring, with an average of 18.3 points per game, while shooting with 47.8% from the field and 85.6% from the free throw line. Oswin Erhunmwunse is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.5 per game. Stefan Vaaks leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.

Providence Friars @ St. John’s Red Storm Betting Trends: March 12, 2026

Why the St. John’s Red Storm will win

• St. John’s has won each of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Providence has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• St. John’s has won the first half in each of its last 14 day games against Conference opponents at Madison Square Garden.

Why the Providence Friars will win

• St. John’s has lost five of its last six day games played at neutral venues.
• Providence has won three of its last four day games.
• St. John’s has lost the first half in seven of its last nine games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-three of Providence’s last 24 games at Madison Square Garden have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Each of St. John’s’ last seven games have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• St. John’s ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.2).
• St. John’s ranks T16th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.0).
• Providence ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (66.2).
• Providence ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (84.1).

Providence vs St. John’s Prediction

In this Providence vs St. John’s Prediction, St. John’s is coming as -11.5 favorites. St. John’s has been the better team this season but Providence has been better against the spread. St. John’s has been red-hot with a 9-1 record in its last 10 games but 4-4 ATS, while Providence has lost two of its last three matches but is 5-1 ATS. Both teams split wins in their two regular season game as both went under the total. St. John’s last seven games have also gone under the total so I expect another low-scoring affair today. Take the under 158.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 158.5