Providence vs Butler Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Providence Friars and Butler Bulldogs meet Wednesday in the college basketball Big East Tournament at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Providence vs. Butler prediction. This article will include a Providence vs. Butler pick.

Providence Friars Betting Preview

The Providence Friars lost to Marquette and Georgetown. Providence has split its last 10 games.

The Providence Friars are averaging 85.6 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 84.1 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Jaylin Sellers is averaging 18.1 points and 4 rebounds, while Jason Edwards is averaging 16.5 points and 2.8 rebounds. Stefan Vaaks is the third double-digit scorer and Jamier Jones is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Providence Friars are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Providence Friars are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game.

Butler Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Butler Bulldogs lost to Creighton and beat DePaul. Butler has split its last 6 games.

The Butler Bulldogs are averaging 79.3 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 77.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Finley Bizjack is averaging 17.1 points and 2.2 rebounds, while Michael Ajayi is averaging 16.3 points and 3.2 assists. Jamie Kaiser Jr. is dishing 1 assist and Jalen Jackson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Butler Bulldogs are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Butler Bulldogs are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Butler Bulldogs will win

• Providence has lost seven of its last eight day games played at neutral venues.
• Butler has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Butler has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.

Why the Providence Friars will win

• Butler has lost five of its last six games against conference opponents at Madison Square Garden.
• Providence has won the first half in three of its last four day games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Providence’s last 21 games against conference opponents at Madison Square Garden has produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
• Each of Butler’s last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Butler ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.9).
• Butler ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.5).
• Providence ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.65).
• Providence ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (85.5).

Providence vs Butler Prediction

Both meetings between these teams saw overtime, so expect a hard-fought, competitive game. I’m still siding with Providence, the team that’s in better form. Butler limps into the tournament with losses in 7 of its last 10 games. Providence is playing the better basketball right now and in a pick ’em spot, I want that team on my side. Give me Providence.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Providence -1.5