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Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction 2/8/25 College Basketball Picks

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North Carolina (13-10) vs Pittsburgh (14-8)

February 8, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: North Carolina -5 — Over/Under: 153

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Pitt vs North Carolina Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 8th, at the Dean Smith Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Panthers’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Tar Heels’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pitt

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving North Carolina

-Recent betting trends in games played between Pitt and North Carolina

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Panthers and Tar Heels. 

Pitt is Struggling 

Pitt is struggling heading into this game and they really looked bad in the last game. Pitt scored 57 points, while the defense gave up 73 points to Virginia, and that led to the defeat. At the end of the first half they only scored 19 points and that led to the defeat. Pitt actually shot 41.9 percent from the field but the defense allowed the Cavaliers to shoot 56 percent and that led to the defeat. Two games ago against Wake Forest, Pitt scored 74 points, but the defense gave up 76 points. 

Pitt sits with a 14-8 record, and they have gone 11-11 against the spread. The over has hit in 12 of the games so far this season. Pitt is averaging 78.5 points while their defense is giving up 71 points per game. The offense is ranked 82nd in the league while the defense is ranked 165th. They are shooting 79.32 percent from the free throw line which is 8th best in the league. Jaland Lowe is averaging 17 points while shooting 38 percent from the field. 

Why Pitt Will Beat North Carolina 

  • North Carolina has lost four of its last five games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Pittsburgh has won four of its last five road games following a home loss.

Big Game for North Carolina

It is a big game for North Carolina because a loss is not going to help their chances. North Carolina has lost two games in a row and one of those losses was against Pitt. In the last game against Duke, North Carolina scored 70 points, but the defense gave up 87 points, and that led ot the defeat. At halftime, they were down 47-25 and even though they played better in the second half, it was too little too late. On Monday, North Carolina will face off against Clemson. 

North Carolina sits with a 13-10 record overall and they have gone 7-15-1 against the spread. The over has hit in 10 of the games. North Carolina is averaging 81.2 points, while their defense is giving up 76.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 35th while the defense is ranked 304th. This is a team that can run up the score, but their defense has been a major issue all season. If they want to find success in this game, the defense is going to need to step up in a big way. RJ Davis is averaging 17.3 points while shooting 39.6 percent from the field. 

Pitt vs North Carolina Prediction

Give me Pitt here. Yes, North Carolina is probably the better team, but Pitt has already knocked them off this season, and their defense is just so bad. Pitt on the season is averaging 78.5 points per game and they are going to run up the score here. This North Carolina defense is just too bad and they are going to really struggle again here. Pitt is going to score at least 8 points here, and that is going to be the difference. Back Pitt against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Pitt +5

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