Indiana's Sam Alexis (4) shoots over Oregon's Nate Bittle (32) during the Indiana versus Oregon men's basketball game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Monday, Feb. 9, 2026.
Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Penn State vs Oregon Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Penn State Nittany Lions Oregon Ducks
Team Records 11-14 8-16
Spread +5.5 -102 -5.5 -118
Moneyline +220 -270
Total Over 146.5 (-110) Under 146.5 (-110)
Where Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, OR
When Saturday, February 14, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV BTN

In this article we will formulate a Penn State vs Oregon prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 14th at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 11-14 (2-12) this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 63-60 in their last game. Penn State led 35-32 at halftime and they held Washington to just 28 points in the second half for the win. The Nittany Lions shot 48% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. Freddie Dilione V led Penn State with 16 points and two rebounds, while Josh Reed added 14 points and six rebounds in the win.

Prior to that game, Penn State lost to USC by a score of 77-75 and Michigan by a score of 110-69. The Nittany Lions have scored 75.6 points per game with 29.9 rebounds and 12.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.8 points against per game this season. Freddie Dilione V is averaging 14.6 points and 3.5 rebounds per game, while Kayden Mingo is averaging 13.4 points and 4.3 assists per game for the Nittany Lions. Penn State is shooting 46.8% from the field, 74.8% on free throws, and 32.7% on three pointers this season. 

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks are 8-16 (1-12) this year after they lost to Indiana by a score of 92-74 in their last game. Oregon trailed 36-30 at halftime and they allowed 56 points in the second half in the loss. The Ducks shot 45% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Nate Bittle led Oregon with 15 points and eight rebounds, while Wei Lin added 15 points and three assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Oregon lost to Purdue by a score of 68-64 and Iowa by a score of 84-66. The Ducks have scored 71.8 points per game with 35.1 rebounds and 13.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.0 points against per game this season. Nate Bittle is averaging 16.6 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while Kwame Evans Jr is averaging 12.8 points and 7.0 rebounds per game for the Ducks. Oregon is shooting 42.5% from the field, 71.2% on free throws, and 32.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Penn State has lost 12 of its last 14 games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Oregon has won 30 of its last 36 day games at Matthew Knight Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oregon has won the first half in five of its last six day games at Matthew Knight Arena.

Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

  • Oregon has lost each of its last 10 games against Conference opponents.
  • Penn State has won the first half in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Penn State’s last six day games against the Big Ten Conference have produced a total of 148+ points.
  • Eighteen of Oregon’s last 24 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Matthew Knight Arena have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Penn State vs Oregon Prediction 

Oregon comes into this matchup trying to snap their long losing streak, but they have scored fewer than 67 points in four of their last five. The Ducks are shooting 42% from the field and they have allowed at least 84 points in two of their last three. Penn State has split their last four games and they are coming off of a win against Washington on the road. The Nittany Lions are shooting 47% from the field, but they have scored at least 75 points in two of their last four. This should actually be a pretty good game, but I will take Oregon at home, as I think Bittle will make the difference.

David Racey's Pick: Oregon -6.5

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