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Northwestern State vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction 3/2/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Northwestern State Demons | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-20 | 17-13 |
| Where | UTRGV Fieldhouse, Edinburg, TX | |
| When | Monday, March 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Northwestern State Demons Betting Preview
The Northwestern State Demons lost to Corpus Christi and beat Incarnate Word. Northwestern State has won 4 of its last 6 games.
The Northwestern State Demons are averaging 71.6 points on 4.1 percent shooting and allowing 75.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Micah Thomas is averaging 17.4 points and 2 rebounds, while Izzy Miles is averaging 10.4 points and 2.5 rebounds. Willie Williams is dishing out 1.5 assists and Chris Mubiru is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Northwestern State Demons are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The Northwestern State Demons are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 28.7 rebounds per game.
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: Betting Preview
The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost to McNeese and beat East Texas A&M; UT Rio Grande Valley has won 10 of its last 12 games.
The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are averaging 78.1 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 71.7 points on 41.3 percent shooting. Koree Cotton is averaging 13.4 points and 5 rebounds, while Filip Brankovic is averaging 13.1 points and 4.3 rebounds. Marvin McGhee III is the third double-digit scorer and Jaylen Washington is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will win
- Northwestern State has lost eight of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won each of its last four night games at UTRGV Fieldhouse against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last five home games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
- Six of Northwestern State’s last seven road night games against the Southland Conference have produced a total of 138+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (16.6).
- The Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (55.3%).
Northwestern State vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction
UT Rio Grande Valley has turned its season around over the last month or so and has covered 7 of its last 10 games. UT Rio Grande Valley is looking like a legit contender to come out of the Southland. However, this line is nuts. Northwestern State beat UTRGV last month as a small dog. Also, since February 2019, Grande Valley is 1-7 ATS as a double-digit favorite. It’s been a double-digit favorite once this season and failed to cover against Corpus Christi. UTRGV does a little bit of winning and oddsmakers don’t know how to act. Let’s relax. Give me the points.
