North Florida vs Dayton Prediction 12/13/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The North Florida Ospreys and the Dayton Flyers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the UD Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Florida Ospreys vs. Dayton Flyers prediction.

North Florida Ospreys Recap

The North Florida Ospreys come into this game looking to bounce back from their 109-58 loss at the hands of Gonzaga last time out to sit at 2-7 this season. After this game, North Florida will head on the road for a game against Charleston Southern.

Ospreys Still Looking For First D-I Win

Kamrin Oriol leads the Ospreys in scoring and assists with 16.8 PPG and 3.9 APG along with 2.8 RPG while Kent Jackson has 12.3 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.7 APG and Trey Cady has 10.7 PPG with 3.4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for North Florida up to this point in the year. BJ Plummer has 8.9 PPG with 2.4 RPG and Dalton Gayman has 8.3 PPG with 4 RPG. Devin Hines has 8.2 PPG with 3 RPG and Mason Lee has 7.6 PPG with 4.7 RPG to lead the Ospreys on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, North Florida is averaging 80.8 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 73.8% from the foul line this season.

Dayton Flyers Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 86-73 loss at the hands of Virginia last time out to sit at 7-3 this season. After this game, Dayton will head on the road for a game against Florida State.

Flyers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Javon Bennett leads the Flyers in scoring and assists with 16.2 PPG and 3.4 APG while De’Shayne Montgomery has 15.4 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 3 APG along with 2.4 SPG. Amael L’Etang has 12.4 PPG along with 6.2 RPG to lead Dayton in rebounding and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton so far this season. Keonte Jones also has 8.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well up to this point in the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 79.3 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 33.2% from three and 72.4% from the foul line this season.

North Florida Ospreys @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: December 13, 2025

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won each of its last 30 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.
• North Florida has lost each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
• North Florida has lost the first half in 15 of its last 16 road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the North Florida Ospreys will win

• North Florida has won the first half in six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-nine of Dayton’s last 30 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
• Each of North Florida’s last six road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 164+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Dayton ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (40.1%).
• Dayton ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.7).
• North Florida ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (32.6).
• North Florida ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (67.8).

North Florida Ospreys vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction

I’m on North Florida here. The Ospreys have been a sieve defensively and have gotten crushed by some of the elite teams they’ve gone up against, and I do think that Dayton wins this game rather comfortably. However, the Flyers aren’t normally a team that blows opposing teams out of the water, and this is a sandwich spot for Dayton off of the loss to Virginia with a road game against Florida State on deck. I think Dayton wins but this line’s a little too thick. Give me the points with North Florida here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: North Florida +29.5