North Dakota State   s Andrew Morgan shoots a basket in the Summit League men   s semifinal against South Dakota State on Monday, March 6, 2023, at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls.

Summit Men Semis 015
Erin Woodiel / Argus Leader / USA TODAY NETWORK

North Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP North Dakota Fighting Hawks North Dakota State Bison
Team Records 16-15 23-7
Where Scheels Center, Fargo, ND
When Saturday, February 28, 2026
Time 05:00 PM EST
TV Summit League Network

In this article, we will formulate a North Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

North Dakota State Bison Preview

The North Dakota State Bison have a 23-7 overall record and a 13-2 record in the Summit League. They are coming off an 84-62 road loss against St. Thomas-Minnesota and their previous three games were a 95-59 home win against Kansas City, a 74-66 road win against South Dakota State, and an 83-66 road win against North Dakota.

Offensively, North Dakota State averages 81 points per game, while allowing 70.9 points per game defensively. The Bison shoot with 47% from the field and grab 36 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.5 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 8.5 steals per game defensively.

Damari Wheeler-Thomas leads North Dakota State in scoring, with an average of 13.9 points per game, while shooting with 39% from the field and 78.1% from the free throw line. Trevian Carson is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. Andy Stefonowicz leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks Preview

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks have a 16-15 overall record and a 10-5 record in the Summit League. They are coming off a 91-83 road loss against South Dakota State and their previous three games were an 85-70 home win against Kansas City, a 72-71 road win against South Dakota, and a 72-61 home win against Oral Roberts.

Offensively, North Dakota averages 77.6 points per game, while allowing 77.6 points per game defensively. The Fighting Hawks shoot with 44% from the field and grab 33.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.4 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 8.6 steals per game defensively.

Greyson Uelmen leads North Dakota in scoring, with an average of 15.5 points per game, while shooting with 47.8% from the field and 82% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.5 assists. Eli King is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.5 per game.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks @ North Dakota State Bison Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the North Dakota State Bison will win

  • North Dakota State has won each of its last nine day games.
  • North Dakota has lost each of its last six games at Scheels Center.
  • North Dakota has lost the first half in five of its last six games at Scheels Center.

Why the North Dakota Fighting Hawks will win

  • North Dakota has won five of its last six road games.
  • North Dakota has won the first half in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of North Dakota’s last six day games have produced a total of 174+ points.
  • Eight of North Dakota State’s last 10 day games at Scheels Center have produced a total of 153+ points.

North Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction   

In this North Dakota vs North Dakota State Prediction, North Dakota State is coming as -12.5 home favorites. North Dakota State has been the better team this season and have been red-hot lately with a 9-1 record its last 10 games, while North Dakota is 2-3 in its last 5 games. North Dakota State has been better both on the offensive and the defensive end, with a +10.1 point differential, so I expect them to win and cover the spread at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: North Dakota State -12.5

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