North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction 2/24/25 College Basketball Picks

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Florida State Seminoles meet on Monday in college basketball action at Tucker Center. Here’s a North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a North Carolina vs Florida State Pick.

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview

The North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11. 9-18-1 ATS) won four of the last five games and are on a three-game winning streak. They will try to get the fourth consecutive victory on Monday, which would tie the longest winning span of the season for the Tar Heels. North Carolina beat Syracuse, NC State, and Virginia, scoring 81+ points in each game. Most projections indicate that the Tar Heels and Seminoles are currently outside the NCAA Tournament bubble. Nevertheless, the recent success of North Carolina has generated some hope for the Tar Heels to secure an at-large bid. North Carolina is 6th in the ACC standings.

North Carolina is averaging 80.9 PPG (38th) and is allowing 76.3 PPG (302nd). The Tar Heels are getting 36.7 RPG (127th) and are having 14.4 APG (149th). RJ Davis is the team’s top scorer with 17.3 PPG, along with 3.7 RPG, 3.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG. Ian Jackson adds 13.7 PPG and 3.2 RPG, Seth Trimble has 11.8 PPG, a team-high 5.5 RPG, and 1.4 SPG, while Elliot Cadeau contributes 10.0 PPG, a team-high 6.0 APG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.0 SPG. 

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

Florida State Seminoles (16-11, 15-12 ATS) went through their worst period of the season during which they suffered four consecutive defeats. Florida State responded with straight wins over Notre Dame and Wake Forest but did lose two of the last three games, most recently to Louisville on the road. The Seminoles are probably staying below the top 7 teams in the ACC as they are currently two wins behind Stanford and three behind North Carolina.

FSU averages 75.5 PPG (147th) and allows 71.4 PPG (171st). The Seminoles are 213th in rebounds (35.2) and 235th in assists (13.4). Jamir Watkins leads the team with 18.1 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.1 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Malique Ewin follows him with 14.4 PPG and a team-high 8.0 RPG, while Daquan Davis chips in with 8.9 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.1 SPG.

Why Florida State will beat North Carolina

• The home team has won eight of North Carolina’s last nine games.
• North Carolina has lost five of its last six road night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida State’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Each of North Carolina’s last nine Monday night road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State ranks T34th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
• Florida State ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.86).
• North Carolina ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (70.7).
• North Carolina ranks 49th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.4%).

North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction

North Carolina did beat FSU in each of the previous five H2H encounters and is in better form at the moment. However, North Carolina has only covered the spread in 15 of its last 39 games, while Florida State has covered the spread in 13 of its last 18 games at home. Also, FSU is better than UNC when it comes to ATS overall this season, and although I think the visitors are slightly closer to victory, I am backing the hosts to cover. It should be a tight affair, nonetheless.