New Mexico State vs Texas Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/12/24

The New Mexico State Aggies are visiting the Texas Longhorns on Thursday, December 12th at the Moody Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Prediction.

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Texas Longhorns have a 7-2 record this season and are coming off a 65-76 loss to Connecticut. The Longhorns are 4-5 against the spread, and 3-5-1 in over/under, while having a 4-1 home record.

Offensively, Texas is averaging 79 points per game, which is 107th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63 points per game (23rd). The Longhorns shoot 49.2% from the field (31st) and 37.9% from beyond the arc (44th). The Longhorns shoot 70.3% from the free-throw line (206th) and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game (221st).

Tre Johnson leads Texas in scoring with an average of 21.1 points, while Arthur Kaluma adds 14.3 points and a team-high 8.2 rebounds. 

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies have a 4-5 record this season and are coming off an 89-83 win in New Mexico. The Aggies are 3-5 against the spread, and 4-4 in over/under while having a 2-2 road record. 

Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 73.1 points per game, which ranks 237th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.4 points per game (219th). The Aggies shoot 41.1% from the field (322nd) and 34.2% from beyond the arc (164th). The Aggies shoot 64.1% from the free-throw line (339th) and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game, which is the 10th-best in the nation.

Robert Carpenter leads New Mexico State in scoring with an average of 13.4 points and a team-high 7.4 rebounds, while Christian Cook adds 13.2 points.  

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won 23 of its last 24 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• New Mexico State has lost five of its last six games.
• Texas has won the first half in each of its last 10 night games against non-conference opponents at Moody Center.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won nine of its last 10 games after coming off overtime.
• New Mexico State has won the first half in each of its last seven Thursday night games against non-conference opponents.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Prediction

Texas has won both previous meetings against New Mexico State, covering the spread in both. In this New Mexico State Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Texas is coming as a -19.5 home favorites. Texas is better both offensively, scoring 5.9 points more than New Mexico State, and defensively, allowing 9.4 points less. The Longhorns have been winning by an average of 16 points this season and have elite shooting percentages, ranking in the top 45 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage. The Aggies are struggling mightily with their shooting, as they rank in the bottom 40 of the nation in field goal percentage. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the Texas Longhorns to win and cover in this one.