New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will meet on Tuesday night in a Conference USA Tournament matchup in Huntsville, Alabama.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies enter Tuesday’s matchup with a 15–15 overall win‑loss record, including an 8–12 mark in conference play and a 3-8 record on the road. The Aggies have compiled wins over Kennesaw State, UTEP and Western Kentucky, while losing recent games to Middle Tennessee, FIU, Liberty and Delaware. 

It is noteworthy that these teams have met multiple times this season. Who won the most recent matchup? Four days ago, the New Mexico State Aggies defeated the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 77-75.

The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 74.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting from the field and 32.6 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Defensively, the Aggies are allowing opponents 74.4 points per contest.

Senior guard Jemel Jones leads the New Mexico State Aggies averaging 17.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Senior forward Julius Mims provides the Aggies with a strong interior presence averaging 11.1 points, 8.7 rebounds and 0.6 blocks per contest.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Preview

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks enter Tuesday’s matchup with a 15–16 record, including a 10–10 mark in conference play and a 5-8 record on the road. The Gamecocks have compiled wins over UTEP, Delaware, Western Kentucky and FIU, while dropping games to Liberty, Sam Houston and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks average 70.2 points on 42.8 percent shooting from the field and 35.9 percent shooting from beyond the arc (66th in country) per game. Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the basketball, the Gamecocks are allowing opponents 70.7 points per contest.  

Senior guard AC Bryant leads the New Mexico State Aggies backcourt averaging 11.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, 1 assist and 1 steal per game. Freshman guard Jacoby Hill provides the Gamecocks with further backcourt stability averaging 10 points, 4 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 0.5 steals per contest.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies Will Win

• Recent success. The New Mexico State Aggies defeated Jacksonville State 77–75 in overtime last week.

• Offensive edge. The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 74.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting from the field and 32.6 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Conversely, the Gamecocks average just 70.2 points per contest.

Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks Will Win

• Guard play. Senior guard Jemel Jones leads the New Mexico State Aggies averaging 17.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.3 steals per game

• Momentum. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks arrive at tomorrow’s contest on the heels of a 64-61 defeat of the UTEP Miners two days ago. 

• Defensive advantage. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are allowing opponents just 70.7 points per game. The New Mexico State Aggies are allowing opponents 74.4 points per contest.  

New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Prediction

This matchup features New Mexico State’s balanced offense against a Jacksonville State team that has already lost twice to New Mexico State this season, including a 77-75 loss last week. Jacksonville State’s quality defense certainly has the potential to keep this game competitive, but the Aggies offensive inconsistency and late game volatility remain legitimate concerns in a tournament setting. The New Mexico State Aggies have consistently shown that the team can dictate tempo and win the offensive battle when it matters, something Jacksonville State has struggled to counter in recent weeks. With the Aggies carrying the sharper execution and the more reliable scoring structure, I am backing New Mexico State to cover the 1.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: New Mexico State -1.5