Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The Montana State Bobcats are visiting the Sacramento State Hornets on Saturday, March 1st at The Nest. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction. We will examine:

The Sacramento State Hornets recent form and player performance

The Montana State Bobcats recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Sacramento State Hornets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Montana State Bobcats

Recent betting trends in games played between Montana State Bobcats and Sacramento State Hornets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets game

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 7-22 record this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the Big Sky. Sacramento State is coming off a 54-60 loss by Montana. The Hornets are 10-15-1 against the spread, and 10-16 in over/under, while having a 5-10 home record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 66.7 points per game, which ranks 342nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.9 points per game (120th). The Hornets shoot with 43% from the field (283rd), and with 33.2% from beyond the arc (232nd). The Hornets shoot with 66.9% from the free-throw line (328th), and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game (264th).

Jacob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring with an average of 16.2 points and a team-high 7.1 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 10.9 points and 2.8 rebounds per game.  

Montana State Bobcats Preview

The Montana State Bobcats have a 12-17 record this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the Big Sky. Montana State is coming off a 52-69 loss in Portland State. The Bobcats are 10-18 against the spread, and 14-14 in over/under, while having a 2-14 road record.

Offensively, Montana State averaging 71.3 points per game, which ranks 261st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.6 points per game (143rd). The Bobcats shoot with 44.8% from the field (174th), and with 33.7% from beyond the arc (202nd). The Bobcats shoot with 72.5% from the free throw line (161st), and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game (334th).

Brandon Walker leads Montana State in scoring this season, with an average of 14.7 points and a team-high 4.9 rebounds, while Max Agbonkpolo adds 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• Montana State has lost each of its last 13 day games.
• The home team has won nine of Montana State’s last 10 games.
• Montana State has lost the first half in each of its last six road games against the Big Sky Conference.

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

• Sacramento State has lost nine of its last 10 games.
• Montana State has won eight of its last nine games against Sacramento State.
• Montana State has won the first half in eight of its last nine day games against the Big Sky Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of Montana State’s last 15 day games have produced a total of 137+ points.
• Four of Sacramento State’s last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at The Nest have produced a total of 126 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sacramento State ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.6).
• Sacramento State ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (23.4).
• Montana State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.5).
• Montana State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (76.8%).

Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction

Montana State is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against Sacramento State, but Sacramento State is 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Montana State won 70-58 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Montana State Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, Montana State coming as -6.5 road favorites. Montana State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but they have been terrible on the road. Both teams have been in poor form lately, as the Hornets are 1-9 in their last 10 games, and the Bobcats 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games. Both teams have been playing some higher scoring games lately, as they are 8-4 to the over in their last 12 games combined. The point totals for those teams have been set too low, so both are managing to crawl over the point total, and I expect this trend to continue today. Take the over the total.