Missouri State vs Florida International Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Missouri State Bears and the FIU Panthers meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Von Braun Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State Bears vs. FIU Panthers prediction.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to make some noise as the 9-seed, finishing the year at 14-17 overall and 8-12 in CUSA play.

Bears Looking For Minor Upset

Keith Palek III leads the Bears in scoring and assists with 17.8 PPG and 3.5 APG along with 6.5 RPG while Michael Osei-Bonsu has 14.8 PPG with a team-high 7.4 RPG to lead the Bears in rebounding in addition to 2.3 APG. Kobi Williams has 14.7 PPG with 2.7 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Missouri State so far this season. Trey Williams Jr. ahs also added 9.3 PPG with 3.1 APG as well on the year. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 75.3 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 68.2% from the foul line this season.

FIU Panthers Recap

The FIU Panthers come into this game as the 8-seed, sitting at 15-16 overall this season, including an 8-12 mark in C-USA conference play. 

Panthers Looking To Start Tournament Right

Corey Stephenson leads the Panthers in scoring and rebounding with 18.1 PPG and 7 RPG along with 2.2 APG while Julian Mackey has 12.3 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 2.3 APG. Hamed Olayinka has 11 PPG with 6.3 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for FIU up to this point in the year. Zawdie Jackson has 9.8 PPG with 2.8 RPG and a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Panthers in assists while  Eric Dibami also has 8.8 PPG and 6.8 RPG and Ashton Williamson has 7.9 PPG with 2.2 RPG and 3.4 APG. As a team, FIU is averaging 87.3 PPG on 47.5% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three and 67.4% from the foul line this season.

Missouri State Bears @ Florida International Panthers Betting Trends: March 10, 2026

Why the Florida International Panthers will win

• Missouri State has lost eight of its last nine games.
• Florida International has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 games.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Florida International has lost nine of its last 10 night games.
• Missouri State has won six of its last eight night games played at neutral venues.
• Florida International has lost the first half in each of its last 13 games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida International’s last nine games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Thirteen of Missouri State’s last 14 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida International ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.2).
• Florida International ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.3).
• Missouri State ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.6).
• Missouri State ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.4).

Missouri State Bears vs. FIU Panthers Prediction

I’m on the under here. Both meetings between these two teams finished under the total in the regular season and with the added pressure of a conference tournament game going on here, I have a hard time thinking that it’s going to be any different here. I know both teams can score, but that fact is pushing this total too high and I’ll take advantage by going under the number.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 152.5