Mississippi Valley State vs Liberty Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/7/24

Pick details

Liberty (8-1) vs Mississippi Valley State (2-7)

December 7, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Liberty -35 / Mississippi Valley State +35 — Over/Under: 124.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils are visiting the Liberty Flames on Saturday, December 7th at the Liberty Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Liberty Flames Prediction.

Liberty Flames Preview

The Liberty Flames have an 8-1 record this season and are coming off a 93-36 win over Central Penn College. The Flames are 6-1 against the spread, and 3-4 in over/under, while they have a 2-0 home record. 

Offensively, Liberty is averaging 75.9 points per game, which ranks 186th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 58.2 points per game, which is the 8th-best nationally. The Flames shoot 49.2% from the field (43rd) and 36% from beyond the arc (97th). The Flames shoot 63.9% from the free-throw line (241st) and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game (278th).

Kaden Metheny leads Liberty in scoring with an average of 12.6 points, while Isiah Ihnen adds 10.6 points and 4.4 rebounds. Liberty will play against NC A&T, UT Arlington, and Western Kentucky following this one.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 2-7 record this season and are coming off a 91-71 win over Oakwood Ambassadors. The Delta Devils are 3-4 against the spread, and 2-5 in over/under, while having a 0-7 road record this season. 

Offensively, Mississippi Valley State is averaging just 53.1 points per game, which is the third-worst in the nation. Defensively, they allow 82.1 points per game (350th). The Delta Devils shoot 39.6% from the field (343rd) and 29.7% from beyond the arc (326th). The Delta Devils shoot 64.8% from the free-throw line (329th) and are grabbing 28.1 rebounds per game, which is the third-worst in the nation.

Arthur Tate leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring with an average of 11.8 points, while Alvin Stredic adds 9.3 points and a team-high 4.7 rebounds. MVSU will take on North Texas and Tulsa after this game.

Why the Liberty Flames will win


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  • Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 120 road games against non-conference opponents.
  • The home team has won each of Mississippi Valley State’s last 13 games.
  • Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in each of its last 53 road night games against non-conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Liberty ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (58.2).
  • Liberty ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (12.8).
  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (53.1).
  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-29.0).

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Eagles vs Liberty Flames Prediction

Liberty has won all four previous meetings against Mississippi Valley State, covering the spread in all four. In their most recent meeting last season, the Flames won 74-39 at home. In this Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Liberty Flames Prediction, Liberty is coming as huge -35 home favorites. Liberty is better both offensively, scoring 22.8 points more than Mississippi Valley State, and defensively, allowing 13.9 points less. The Flames are winning by an average of 17.7 points this season, while the Delta Devils are losing by an average of 29 points. This is going to be a blowout win by the home team, so pick the Liberty Flames and lay the big chalk at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Liberty Flames -35

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