Mississippi Valley State vs Grambling State Prediction 3/9/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi Valley State vs Grambling Prediction for this SWAC Tournament 1st Round matchup on Monday, March 9th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Grambling Tigers Preview

The Grambling Tigers have a 13-18 overall record and a 7-11 record in the SWAC conference. They are coming off a 65-63 road win against Alabama State and their previous three games were a 77-63 road loss against Alabama A&M, a 66-59 home loss against Florida A&M and a 76-71 home loss against Bethune-Cookman.

Offensively, Grambling averages 70.3 points per game, while allowing 70.8 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 43% from the field and grab 33.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.

Antonio Munoz leads Grambling in scoring, with an average of 12.6 points per game, while shooting with 48.9% from the field and 66% from the free throw line. Roderick Coffee III is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.7 per game, adding a team-high 4.2 assists.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 3-29 overall record and a 2-16 record in the SWAC conference. They are coming off an 85-77 road loss against Jackson State and their previous three games were a 67-64 road loss against Alcorn State, a 70-69 road win against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and an 83-62 road loss against Grambling.

Offensively, Mississippi Valley State averages 64.6 points per game, while allowing 83.2 points per game defensively. The Delta Devils shoot with 41% from the field and grab 30.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.2 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

Michael James leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring, with an average of 21.4 points per game, while shooting with 43.7% from the field and 90.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.7 assists. Daniel Mayfield is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.3 per game.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ Grambling State Tigers Betting Trends: March 9, 2026

Why the Grambling State Tigers will win

Mississippi Valley State has lost 18 of its last 19 night games.
Grambling State has won 10 of its last 11 games against Mississippi Valley State.
Mississippi Valley State has lost the first half in 18 of its last 19 night games.

Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win

Grambling State has lost seven of its last nine games.
Grambling State has lost the first half in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

Seven of Grambling State’s last eight games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
Six of Mississippi Valley State’s last seven games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 140+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

Grambling State ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (18.5%).
Grambling State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (8.5).
Mississippi Valley State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-18.6).
Mississippi Valley State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (21.3).

Mississippi Valley State vs Grambling Prediction

In this Mississippi Valley State vs Grambling Prediction, Grambling is coming as -12.5 favorites. Grambling has been the better team this season but has been struggling lately with a 2-7 record both straight up and against the spread in its last 9 games. Mississippi Valley State had two of its wins in its last five games and is also 4-1 against the spread in that span. They are  6-1 against the spread in their last 7 head-to-head matches against Grambling, so as crazy as it sounds, I am leaning towards Mississippi Valley State and the +12.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mississippi Valley State +12.5