Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction 1/31/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Missouri Tigers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Mizzou Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers prediction.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 80-66 win over LSU last time out to sit at 11-10 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against Arkansas.

Bulldogs Snap Five-Game Skid

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 22.8 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Epps has 15.6 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 6.7 PPG and a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 69.5% from the foul line this season.

Missouri Tigers Recap

The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 90-64 loss to Alabama last time out to sit at 14-7 this season. After this game, Missouri will head on the road for a game against South Carolina.

Tigers Drop 4 Of Last 6

Mark Mitchell leads the Tigers in scoring and rebounding with 17.7 PPG and 5.5 RPG along with 3.2 APG while Jayden Stone has 15.4 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 2.5 APG. Jacob Crews has 11.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG. Anthony Robinson II also has 10 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Tigers in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri up to this point in the year. As a team, Missouri is averaging 81.1 PPG on 50.2% shooting from the field, 35.5% from three and 68.4% from the foul line this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: January 31, 2026

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won each of its last 26 games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost five of its last six games.
• Missouri has won the first half in nine of its last 10 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• The road team has won four of Mississippi State’s last five games.
• Missouri has lost four of its last five day games against Conference opponents.
• Missouri has lost the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last four games at Mizzou Arena have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.
• Six of Missouri’s last seven games against Conference opponents at Mizzou Arena have produced a total of 150+ points.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Bulldogs here. I’m just not a believer in Missouri, and I think the Bulldogs will have the best scorer in the game in Josh Hubbard on the floor in this one. I think this is going to be back and forth, and ultimately, I want to be on the side of the better free throw shooting team here, so give me Mississippi State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Mississippi State +7.5