Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction 1/14/25 College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Auburn Tigers meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Neville Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Auburn prediction.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 95-90 loss to Kentucky last time out to fall to 14-2 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will have a rivalry game at home against Ole Miss.

Bulldogs Looking To Rebound

Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 17 PPG and 3.2 APG while Claudell Harris Jr. has 11.2 PPG to round out the pair of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. KeShawn Murphy has 9.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and Riley Kugel has 9.6 PPG. RJ Melendez also has 9.1 PPG with 3.8 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 8.7 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 4 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 83.9 PPG on 47.4% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three, and 70.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won eight of its last nine games.

Auburn Recap

The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to build on a 66-63 win over South Carolina last time out to improve to 15-1 on the year. After this game, Auburn will head on the road for a matchup with Georgia.

Tigers Win 8th Straight

Johni Broome leads the Tigers across the board, averaging a double-double per game with team-highs of 17.9 PPG, 10.7 RPG, and 3.3 APG along with 2.7 BPG, but could miss this game because of injury, while Chad Baker-Mazara has 12.7 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 2.7 APG. Tahaad Pettiford has 11.3 PPG with 2.8 APG while Denver Jones has 10.5 PPG and 2.9 APG. Chaney Johnson has 10.1 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Miles Kelly’s added 10.3 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Auburn up to this point in the year. As a team, Auburn is averaging 86.6 PPG on 50.6% shooting from the field, 37.7% from behind the arc, and 75.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

• Auburn has won each of its last 20 night games at Neville Arena.
• Mississippi State has lost 15 of its last 17 night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Auburn’s last seven night games against the Southeastern Conference has produced a total of 162+ points.
• Each of Mississippi State’s last seven games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Prediction

I’m on Mississippi State with the points here. I think that the absence of Johni Broome looms large here with Auburn clearly looking like he’s needed to help the Tigers get over the hump in some of their recent games. I won’t lie, I haven’t loved how Auburn has looked in terms of playing in a lot of close games as of late, and Mississippi State is no slouch coming into this one. I think the Bulldogs will be up for this game especially coming off of a loss and going into a tough environment against one of the toughest teams in the country. I look for a concerted effort from Mississippi State and for the Bulldogs to flirt with the outright upset here. Give me Mississippi State and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Mississippi State +7.5