Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction 2/25/25 College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Coleman Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Alabama prediction.

Matchup History

Alabama won the first meeting this season by a final score of 88-84 at Mississippi State on January 29th, 2025. The win for the Tide made it seven straight wins for Alabama in this head-to-head matchup including four straight ATS covers.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 93-87 loss at the hands of Oklahoma on the road last time out to fall to 19-8 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against LSU.

Bulldogs Looking To Rebound

Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 17.9 PPG and 3.3 APG while Claudell Harris Jr. has 10.3 PPG. KeShawn Murphy has 11.4 PPG with 7.5 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Riley Kugel has 9.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG and RJ Melendez also has 8.7 PPG with 4.4 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 7.1 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 79.3 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 31.7% from three, and 69.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• The road team has won six of Mississippi State’s last eight games.

Alabama Recap

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game looking to build on their 96-83 win over Kentucky last time out to improve to 22-5 on the year. After this game, Alabama will head on the road for a matchup with the Tennessee Volunteers.

Crimson Tide Looking To Build Some Momentum

Mark Sears leads Alabama in scoring and assists with 18.9 PPG and 4.8 APG along with 3 RPG while Grant Nelson has 12.2 PPG with 7.9 RPG to lead the Crimson Tide in rebounding so far this season. Labaron Philon has 10.4 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 3.4 APG and Aden Holloway has chipped in 12 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Alabama so far this season. Chris Youngblood’s also chipped in 9.7 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Clifford Omoruyi has 7.1 PPG with 6.7 RPG this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 90.8 PPG on 48.4% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three, and 71.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Mississippi State has lost each of its last eight games at Coleman Coliseum.
• Alabama has won each of its last eight games against Mississippi State at Coleman Coliseum.

Total Points Facts

• Seventy-nine of Mississippi State’s last 82 night games have produced a total of 168 or fewer points.
• Eight of Alabama’s last nine games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 172+ points.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I like this Alabama team offensively, but man, they have some serious issues that need to be worked out on the defensive end of the floor. Mississippi State’s had some moments themselves, but they’re also a decent offensive team when called upon, and I think this has all the makings of a higher-scoring matchup, similar to the 88-84 matchup we saw between these two teams earlier this season. Give me the over in this track meet.