Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction 2/25/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the Coleman Coliseum. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Alabama prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs. Alabama pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Auburn and lost to South Carolina, and they play Missouri next. Mississippi State has lost 9 of its last 12 games.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 78.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 22 points and 3.6 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 14.2 points and 2.4 rebounds. Quincy Ballard is grabbing 6.3 rebounds, and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 2.1 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 33.04 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide beat Arkansas and LSU, and they play Tennessee next. Alabama has won 6 straight games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide is averaging 92.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 83.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Labaron Philon Jr. is averaging 21.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Aden Holloway is averaging 16.9 points and 3.9 assists. Latrell Wrightsell is the third double-digit scorer, and Amari Allen is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide is allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Alabama has won each of its last nine games against Mississippi State at Coleman Coliseum.
• Mississippi State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won three of its last four night games against conference opponents.

Total Points: Facts

• Eighty-six of Mississippi State’s last 91 night games against the Southeastern Conference have produced a total of 174 or fewer points.
• Each of Alabama’s last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 173 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Alabama ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (69.0).
• Alabama ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (12.6).
• Mississippi State ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.1).
• Mississippi State ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (39.4).

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction

Mississippi State has four road wins and has had moments this season. The problem is Mississippi State doesn’t have the scoring depth to hang with the big boys. Hubbard can only do so much. Alabama can overwhelm Mississippi State offensively, similar to what it did last month, dropping 97 points and winning by 15. In Tuscaloosa, this could get ugly. I’ll lay the points with the tide.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Alabama -14.5