Jan 2, 2026; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA;  Michigan Wolverines forward Morez Johnson Jr. (21) is defended by Southern California Trojans forward Jacob Cofie (6) in the second half at Crisler Center. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Michigan vs Penn State Prediction 1/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Michigan Wolverines Penn State Nittany Lions
Team Records 14-0 9-6
Where Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA
When Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV FS1

In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Penn State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, January 6th at the Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 13-0 (3-0) this season after they defeated USC by a score of 96-66 in their last game. Michigan led 49-31 at halftime and they added 47 points in the second half in the win. The Wolverines shot 48% from the field, 20% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. Morez Johnson Jr led Michigan with 29 points and six rebounds, while Roddy Gayle Jr added 12 points and four rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated McNeese by a score of 112-71 and La Salle by a score of 102-50. The Wolverines have scored 96.7 points per game with 44.6 rebounds and 21.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.5 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 15.1 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 14.8 points and 6.7 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 53.1% from the field, 71.3% on free throws, and 36.8% on three pointers this season. 

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 9-5 (0-3) this year after they lost to Illinois by a score of 73-65 in their last game. Penn State trailed 40-26 at halftime, but they did win the second half 39-33 in the loss. The Nittany Lions shot 35% from the field, 21% on three pointers, and 64% on free throws in the game. Kayden Mingo led Penn State with 16 points and five assists, while Eli Rice added 11 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Penn State defeated NC Central by a score of 90-67, but lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 80-46 before that. The Nittany Lions have scored 78.1 points per game with 31.1 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.2 points against per game this season. Kayden Mingo is averaging 14.9 points and 4.5 assists per game, while Freddie Dilione V is averaging 14.1 points and 3.5 rebounds per game for the Nittany Lions. Penn State is shooting 47.7% from the field, 71.7% on free throws, and 33.4% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

  • Penn State has won each of its last seven night games at Bryce Jordan Center.
  • Michigan has lost three of its last four January road games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last three road games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Penn State has lost 10 of its last 11 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Penn State has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Penn State’s last 12 games against the Big Ten Conference Conference at Bryce Jordan Center have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Michigan’s last eight games against the Big Ten Conference Conference have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.

Michigan vs Penn State Prediction 

Michigan rolls into this matchup with an undefeated record so far this season and they have been dominating teams, as they have won three games in a row by at least 30 points. The Wolverines are shooting 53% from the field and they have scored 96+ in four straight games. Penn State has lost four of their last five games, which includes two losses of at least 34 points. The Nittany Lions are 0-3 in conference play and I don’t see how they keep pace with this elite Michigan team. Take the Wolverines to cover this big number on the road.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan -22.5

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