Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, February 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a 10-12 overall record this season and a 3-8 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 77-75 away loss against Penn State and their previous three games were a 67-63 away loss against Wisconsin, a 76-57 home loss against Nebraska and an 82-74 overtime away loss against Ohio State.

Offensively, Minnesota averages 71.8 points per game, while allowing 68.8 points per game defensively. The Golden Gophers shoot with 46% from the field and grab 33.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.8 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.

Cade Tyson leads Minnesota in scoring, with an average of 19.9 points per game, while shooting with 50% from the field and 81% from the free throw line. Jaylen Crocker-Johnson leads the team in rebounds with 6.9 per game. Langston Reynolds leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.

Michigan State Spartans Preview

The Michigan State Spartans have a 19-3 overall record this season and a 9-2 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off an 83-71 home loss against Michigan and their previous three games were an 88-79 overtime away win against Rutgers, a 91-48 home win against Maryland and a 68-52 away win against Oregon.

Offensively, Michigan State averages 79.1 points per game, while allowing 64.4 points per game defensively. The Spartans shoot with 47% from the field and grab 41.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 18.6 assists per game. They average 4.6 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game defensively.

Jeremy Fears Jr. leads Michigan State in both scoring and assists, with an average of 14.9 points and 8.8 assists per game, while shooting with 45.2% from the field and 89.5% from the free throw line. Jaxon Kohler leads the team in rebounds with 9.1 per game.

Michigan State Spartans @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends: February 4, 2026

Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win

• The home team has won four of Minnesota’s last five games.
• Michigan State has lost four of its last five February road games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last six February games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won each of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Minnesota has lost each of its last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan State has won the first half in each of its last six night games against Minnesota.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Minnesota’s last 17 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 129+ points.
• Twenty-one of Michigan State’s last 23 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 131+ points.

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction

In this Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction, Michigan State is coming as -8.5 road favorites. Michigan State has been the far better team this season and have been almost perfect on the road. They are 7-1 in their last 8 games and 6-3 against the spread, while Minnesota has been on a free fall with seven consecutive losses and 2-5 against the spread. Michigan State has a top-10 defense in the entire nation and a +14.7 point differential, so I expect them to get the job done on the road. Take Michigan State and lay the points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Michigan State -8.5