Nov 21, 2025; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Merrimack Warriors guard Tye Dorset (4) dribbles the ball while Florida Gators guard Alex Lloyd (4) defends during the second half at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images
Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

Merrimack vs Rider Prediction 2/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Merrimack Warriors Rider Broncs
Team Records 15-9 3-19
Where Alumni Gymnasium (Rider), Lawrenceville, NJ
When Saturday, February 7, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate an Idaho vs Montana Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 7th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Rider Broncs Preview

The Rider Broncs have a 3-19 overall record this season and a 2-11 record in the MAAC. They are coming off an 81-52 away loss against Marist and their previous three games were an 81-78 home win against Saint Peter’s, a 95-90 away loss against Manhattan, a 71-61 away loss against Mount St. Mary’s and a 105-85 home loss against Sacred Heart.

Offensively, Rider averages 64.7 points per game, while allowing 76.8 points per game defensively. The Broncs shoot with 40% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 10.7 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 5 steals per game defensively.

Flash Burton leads Rider in scoring and assists, with an average of 14.2 points per game and 3.2 assists per game, while shooting with 38.3% from the field and 75.9% from the free throw line. Caleb Smith is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.2 per game.

Merrimack Warriors Preview

The Merrimack Warriors have a 15-9 overall record this season and a 11-2 record in the MAAC. They are coming off an 87-70 away win against Mount St. Mary’s and their previous three games were a 75-58 home win against Sacred Heart, a 67-59 home win against Siena, a 61-60 away loss against Iona and a 68-55 away win against Marist.

Offensively, Merrimack averages 67.3 points per game, while allowing 68.7 points per game defensively. The Warriors shoot with 41% from the field and grab 28.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 4.7 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.

Kevair Kennedy leads Merrimack in scoring, rebounds and assists, with an average of 17.1 points per game, 4.7 rebounds per game and 3.9 assists per game, while shooting with 46.4% from the field and 80.3% from the free throw line.

Merrimack Warriors @ Rider Broncs Betting Trends: February 7, 2026

Why the Rider Broncs will win

  • The home team has won each of Rider’s last four games.
  • Merrimack has lost each of its last three road games following a road win.
  • Rider has won the first half in four of its last five night games against Conference opponents at Alumni Gymnasium.

Why the Merrimack Warriors will win

  • Rider has lost 11 of its last 12 night games.
  • Merrimack has won 11 of its last 13 games against Conference opponents.
  • Merrimack has won the first half in 11 of its last 13 games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Rider’s last seven games against Conference opponents at Alumni Gymnasium have produced a total of 139+ points.
  • Six of Merrimack’s last seven night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 134 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Rider ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (4.5).
  • Rider ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (43.9%).
  • Merrimack ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (42.2%).
  • Merrimack ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (28.5).

Merrimack vs Rider Prediction

In this Merrimack vs Rider Prediction, Merrimack is coming as -9.5 road favorites. Merrimack has been the far better team this season and have twice as many road wins as Rider has at home. They have been in very good form lately, with an 8-2 record both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games, while Rider is struggling with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games and 2-4 against the spread. Rider has a bottom-20 offense in the entire nation and are facing Merrimack’s top-100 defense, so the value here lies with the road team. Take Merrimack and lay the points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Merrimack -9.5

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