Feb 8, 2026; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Tigers forward Ashton Hardaway (3) dunks the ball against the Charlotte 49ers during the second half at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Wesley Hale-Imagn Images
Wesley Hale-Imagn Images

Memphis vs North Texas Prediction 2/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Memphis Tigers North Texas Mean Green
Team Records 12-11 13-11
Spread -1.5 100 +1.5 -120
Moneyline -115 -105
Total Over 138.5 (-108) Under 138.5 (-112)
Where The Super Pit, Denton, TX
When Thursday, February 12, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

In this article, we will formulate a Memphis vs North Texas Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

North Texas Mean Green Preview

The North Texas Mean Green have a 13-11 overall record this season and a 4-7 record in the American. They are coming off an 81-58 road win against UTSA and their previous four games were an 86-83 2OT road loss against Rice, a 72-68 home loss against UAB, an 82-66 road loss against Tulsa and a 63-59 home loss against East Carolina.

Offensively, North Texas averages 70.6 points per game, while allowing 66.2 points per game defensively. The Mean Green shoot with 43% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.9 assists per game. They average 4.6 blocks per game and 9.9 steals per game defensively.

Je’Shawn Stevenson is the team’s leading scorer with an average of 17 points per game, while shooting with 37.8% from the field and 81% from the free throw line. Dylan Arnett is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 per game. David Terrell Jr. leads the team in assists made with 4.8 per game.

Memphis Tigers Preview

The Memphis Tigers have a 12-11 overall record this season and a 7-4 record in the American. They are coming off a 77-54 home win against Charlotte and their previous four games were a 90-80 road win against UAB, a 78-76 home loss against Tulane, a 92-65 home win against Florida Atlantic and a 74-59 road loss against Wichita State.

Offensively, Memphis averages 75 points per game, while allowing 72.6 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 44% from the field and grab 37.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.1 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 9.4 steals per game defensively.

Dug McDaniel leads Memphis in scoring and assists, with an average of 13.2 points per game and 4.7 assists per game, while shooting with 39.8% from the field and 88.7% from the free throw line. Julius Thedford is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game.

Memphis Tigers @ North Texas Mean Green Betting Trends: February 12, 2026

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • North Texas has won each of its last 14 Thursday night games.
  • Memphis has lost three of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • North Texas has won the first half in each of its last nine night games at The Super Pit.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 10 of its last 11 night games against Conference opponents.
  • North Texas has lost five of its last six night games.
  • Memphis has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Memphis vs North Texas Prediction

In this Memphis vs North Texas Prediction, Memphis is coming as -1.5 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and exactly 11 defeats each, but North Texas has been struggling lately, with a 1-4 record both straight up and against the spread in its last 5 games. On the flip side, Memphis is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in its last 4 games and has a better offense, scoring 4.4 points per game more than North Texas, so I like them on the road in this spot. Take Memphis on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Memphis ML

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