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Maryland vs Penn State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Penn State (15-14) vs Maryland (21-7)

March 1, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Penn State +5.5 — Over/Under: 154.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Maryland Terrapins and the Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Bryce Jordan Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Maryland vs. Penn State prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have not met this season, but Penn State did win the last meeting back on March 10th, 2024 last season at home by a final score of 85-69. The win made it four straight meetings between these two teams without back-to-back winners.

Maryland Recap

The Maryland Terrapins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 58-55 loss at the hands of Michigan State last time out at home to sit at 21-7 on the year. After this game, Maryland will head on the road for a matchup with Michigan.

Terrapins Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Derik Queen leads the Terps in scoring with 15.9 PPG along with 9.1 RPG while Ja’Kobi Gillespie has 14.9 PPG with a team-high 4.8 APG to lead the Terrapins in the assist department. Rodney Rice has 13.7 PPG and Selton Miguel has 11.9 PPG, while Julian Reese has 14 PPG with a team-high 9.3 RPG to lead the Terrapins on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Maryland so far this season. As a team, Maryland is averaging 83.7 PPG on 48.8% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • Maryland has won each of its last nine day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Penn State has lost each of its last four day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Penn State Recap

The Penn State Nittany Lions come into this game looking to bounce back from an 83-78 loss at the hands of Indiana in their last game to slip to 15-14 on the year. After this game, Penn State will close out the regular season with a road game against Wisconsin.

Nittany Lions Looking To Rebound

Ace Baldwin Jr. leads Penn State in scoring and assists with 13.7 PPG and 7.3 APG along with a team-high 2.3 SPG as well this season. Nick Kern Jr. has 11.9 PPG with 5.1 RPG while Yanic Konan Niederhauser has 12.9 PPG with a team-high 6.2 RPG to lead Penn state in rebounding up to this point in the year. Zach Hicks has 11.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Penn State this season. Freddie Dilione V also has 9.3 PPG with 2.8 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Penn State is averaging 79.4 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field, 33.4% from behind the arc and 75.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

  • Maryland has lost each of its last seven games at Bryce Jordan Center.
  • Penn State has won each of its last seven home games against Maryland.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Maryland’s last 18 Saturday day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
  • Eleven of Penn State’s last 12 day games have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Maryland vs. Penn State Prediction

I’m on Maryland in this game. I think that the Nittany Lions catching points at home is tempting in their regular season finale, and laying points on the road with Maryland has been a tricky proposition as the Terps haven’t been a great road team under Kevin Willard. However, the Terrapins have been on a roll on the road as of late and can ill afford a slip up, even on the road, if they’re going to have a strong NCAA tournament resume to present to the committee. I think that Maryland secures another road win as even though Penn State has their 7-footer in Niederhauser back, the Terrapins have too much collective size inside for the Nittany Lions to compete with. Give me Maryland on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Maryland -5.5

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