Maryland vs Florida Prediction 3/27/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Maryland vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 27, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Texas Tech or Arkansas in the Elite 8.

Maryland Terrapins Betting Preview

The Maryland Terrapins (27-8, 19-16 ATS) concluded the regular season with three consecutive wins and entered the Big Ten tournament as the No. 2 seed. The Terrapins dismantled Illinois 88-65 in the quarterfinals but fell short to Michigan in the semis as the Wolverines squeezed through to the finals with an 81-80 victory. In the NCAA tournament, Maryland had no problems against Grand Canyon in the first round but was nearly eliminated by Colorado State in the second round. Derik Quuen scored a buzzer-beater to give Maryland a 72-71 win.

Maryland averages 81.4 PPG (24th) and allows 66.6 PPG (40th). The Terrapins are 122nd in rebounds (36.7) and 136th in assists (14.4). Derik Queen leads the team with 16.2 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 1.1 SPG, and 1.1 BPG. Ja’Kobi Gillespie follows him with 14.6 PPG, 2.8 RPG, a team-high 5.0 APG, and a team-high 1.9 SPG, while Rodney Rice chips in 13.9 PPG, 2.2 RPG, and 2.1 APG.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators (32-4, 26-10 ATS) finished the regular season with nine wins in ten games and secured the No. 2 seed for the SEC tournament. The Gators were unstoppable on their way to the conference title as they defeated Missouri 95-81, Alabama 104-82, and Tennessee 86-77. Florida was solid in the opening round at the NCAA tournament with a 95-69 victory over Norfolk State, unlike the second round when the Gators edged out UConn 77-75.

Florida is averaging 85.4 PPG (4th) and is allowing 69.4 PPG (89th). The Gators are getting 41.9 RPG (5th) and dish out 15.9 APG (55th). Walter Clayton Jr. is the team’s top performer with 17.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 4.2 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Alijah Martin has 14.6 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.4 APG, and 1.6 SPG, while Will Richard contributes 13.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG.

Why Florida will beat Maryland

• Florida has won each of its last 10 games played at neutral venues.
• Maryland has lost each of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Florida has won the first half in eight of its last nine games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Nineteen of Maryland’s last 20 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Eight of Florida’s last nine games have produced a total of 159+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.3).
• Florida ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).
• Maryland ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.1).
• Maryland ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).

Maryland vs Florida Prediction

These teams have met just once before, and it was in 2021 when Maryland won. The Terrapins were lucky in the previous round, and in my opinion, they deserved to lose to Colorado State, so I believe this is the end of the road for them. The Gators did have trouble with UConn, but that’s understandable given that the Huskies came to the tournament as back-to-back champions. Florida has a fantastic ATS record this year and covered the Spread in 23 of its last 31 games. I am backing the Gators to win and cover here.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Florida -5.5