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LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Mississippi State (19-9) vs LSU (14-14)
March 1, 2025 at 03:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State -11.5 — Over/Under: 148.5
The LSU Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Humphrey Coliseum. Here’s a LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a LSU vs Mississippi State Pick.
LSU Tigers Betting PreviewÂ
The LSU Tigers lost to Florida and Tennessee, and they play Kentucky and Texas A&M next. LSU could use a feel-good win after losing 12 of their last 15 games.
The LSU Tigers are averaging 76.2 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.5 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Cam Carter is averaging 16.7 points and 4 rebounds, while Jordan Sears is averaging 11.8 points and 2.8 rebounds. Jalen Reed is the third double-digit scorer and Vyctorius Miller is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The LSU Tigers are shooting 31.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The LSU Tigers are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting PreviewÂ
The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Oklahoma and Alabama, and they play Texas and Arkansas next. Mississippi State is 5-8 since starting the season with a 14-1 record.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 79.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 73.3 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 18 points and 3.4 assists, while KeShawn Murphy is averaging 11.6 points and 7.6 rebounds. Claudell Harris Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Riley Kugel is dishing 1.4 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 31.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69.4 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won 15 of its last 16 day games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- LSU has lost each of its last seven games against AP-ranked opponents.
- LSU has lost the first half in four of its last five day games against the Southeastern Conference.
Why the LSU Tigers will win
- Mississippi State has lost three of its last four games at Humphrey Coliseum.
- LSU has won three of its last four road day games against the Southeastern Conference.
Total Points Facts
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- Seven of Mississippi State’s last eight games have produced a total of 149+ points.
- Each of LSU’s last three day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (38.5).
- Mississippi State ranks T41st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.6).
LSU vs Mississippi State Injury Report
LSU will be without Jalen Reed and Tyrell Ward, while Derek Fountain is questionable with an undisclosed issue. Mississippi State will be without Kanye Clary due to a leg injury.Â
LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction
Mississippi State is in no position to be favored by double-digit points, yet here we are. This line says more about LSU than anything. While Mississippi State has been on the struggle bus for the last month or so, LSU just has had no success in SEC play and can’t score the basketball as of late. LSU has scored less than 70 points in five of its last eight games. Mississippi State is an experienced and talented team capable of getting back on track and this feels like a spot to get a needed win. Big line that I’m not comfortable with, but backing LSU isn’t much of an option. So, Mississippi State it is…
