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Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/14/24
Pick details
Kentucky (9-1) vs Louisville (6-4)
Game Info: Saturday, December 14, 2024 at 5:15 pm (Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky -10.5 / Louisville +10.5 — Over/Under:
The Louisville Cardinals and Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Rupp Arena. Here’s a Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a Louisville vs Kentucky Pick.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals lost to Duke, beat UTEP, and they play Florida State, Eastern Kentucky, and North Carolina next. The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 76.1 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 68.7 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Chucky Hepburn is averaging 14.1 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Terrence Edwards Jr. is averaging 12.9 points and 3.2 rebounds. Reyne Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Kasean Pryor is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 27 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats beat Gonzaga and Colgate, and they play Ohio State, Brown, and Florida next. The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 91.1 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.3 points on 38.8 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 15.6 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Lamont Butler is averaging 12.9 points and 3.1 rebounds. Jaxson Robinson is the third double-digit scorer and Koby Brea is dishing 1.3 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 26.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won each of its last 11 games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
- Louisville has lost 18 of its last 19 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Louisville has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 night games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of Louisville’s last 15 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
- Fifteen of Kentucky’s last 18 games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center have produced a total of 165+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (44.8).
- Kentucky ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.99).
- Louisville ranks T41st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.5).
Louisville vs Kentucky Prediction
I wanted to take Louisville and the points because this is a rivalry game, but the favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Louisville Cardinals are offensively challenged and simply not a threat from beyond the arc. The Kentucky Wildcats are playing decent ball through their first 10 games, and they’ve gotten after it defensively out of the gate. I’m just not sure Losuvlle has the offensive talent to scare Kentucky, especially in a tough environment. Not a fan of double-digit chalk in a rivalry game, but I’ll lay the points anyway, with Kentucky at home.
